Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plzen vs Liberec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga Doosan Arena, Plzen
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ladra T.
Own Goal
44'
Kozeluh J.
46'
Sub
Cerv L. In: Pirgic S.
Out: Cerv L.

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga game between Plzen and Liberec finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Plzen
20%
Draws
61%
Liberec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liberec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Liberec come out ahead of Plzen on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Liberec taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Plzen Clean Sheet 13%
Liberec Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plzen Liberec
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.82 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Liberec
1:3
May 9, 2026 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Liberec
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Liberec
3:1
Aug 31, 2025 Chance Liga
Liberec vs Plzen
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Liberec
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plzen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Liberec Compare

Top Goalscorer Soliu A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dulay P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plzen 10 / 100
Liberec 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plzen Liberec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Plzen's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Liberec has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Plzen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plzen VS Liberec
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Plzen

(Home)
20 Sept
Slavia Prague
2 : 1
Plzen
17 Sept
Plzen
0 : 3
Royale Union SG
13 Sept
Plzen
2 : 3
Sigma Olomouc
09 Sept
Hradec Kralove
0 : 0
Plzen
05 Sept
Artis Brno
0 : 3
Plzen
Page 1 of 6

Liberec

(Away)
19 Sept
Artis Brno
0 : 0
Liberec
15 Sept
Vlasim
0 : 2
Liberec
12 Sept
Liberec
3 : 0
Mlada Boleslav
06 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 2
Liberec
30 Aug
Liberec
2 : 0
Hradec Kralove
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)