Sport Picks
Pobeda Valandovo vs Bregalnica Stip
North Macedonia
Macedonian Cup 
Match Events
16'
16'
Madevski I.
Own Goal
21'
21'
Demiri H.
53'
53'
Temelkov R.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-6, with Bregalnica Stip advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bregalnica Stip
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bregalnica Stip come out ahead of Pobeda Valandovo on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Bregalnica Stip taking it.
- Bregalnica Stip arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Bregalnica Stip, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pobeda Valandovo Clean Sheet 16%
Bregalnica Stip Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pobeda Valandovo | Bregalnica Stip |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 32 |
| Wins | 2 | 23 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 23 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Pobeda Valandovo vs Bregalnica Stip
1:5
Aug 26, 2025 Macedonian Cup
Pobeda Valandovo vs Bregalnica Stip
0:6
Apr 17, 2018 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Pobeda Valandovo
7:2
Nov 4, 2017 2. MFL
Pobeda Valandovo vs Bregalnica Stip
1:1
Sep 9, 2017 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Pobeda Valandovo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pobeda Valandovo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Bregalnica Stip Compare
Top Goalscorer Demiri H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Temelkov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pobeda Valandovo 10 / 100
Bregalnica Stip 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pobeda Valandovo Bregalnica Stip
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Pobeda Valandovo found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (26 games).
Defensive concern: Bregalnica Stip conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.
Pobeda Valandovo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pobeda Valandovo VS Bregalnica Stip
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pobeda Valandovo
(Home) 30 May
Pobeda Valandovo
0 : 2 Kamjani
28 Feb
Bregalnica Delcevo
1 : 5 Pobeda Valandovo
13 Feb
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 2 Osogovo
07 Feb
Pobeda Valandovo
0 : 3 Kozuf Gevgelija
31 Jan
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 5 Bregalnica Stip
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30 May
Pobeda Valandovo
0 : 2 Kamjani
13 Feb
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 2 Osogovo
07 Feb
Pobeda Valandovo
0 : 3 Kozuf Gevgelija
31 Jan
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 5 Bregalnica Stip
29 Jan
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 6 Detonit Plackovica
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Bregalnica Stip
(Away) 23 May
Bregalnica Stip
7 : 0 Pobeda
16 May
Osogovo
0 : 3 Bregalnica Stip
10 May
Bregalnica Stip
1 : 1 Shkendija Haracine
02 May
Belasica Strumica
0 : 1 Bregalnica Stip
25 Apr
Bregalnica Stip
4 : 1 Sloga Vinica
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16 May
Osogovo
0 : 3 Bregalnica Stip
02 May
Belasica Strumica
0 : 1 Bregalnica Stip
18 Apr
Detonit Plackovica
0 : 1 Bregalnica Stip
04 Apr
FK Skopje
0 : 1 Bregalnica Stip
21 Mar
Prespa
0 : 3 Bregalnica Stip
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Vardar-
TBD-
Pcinja0
Novaci3
Ohrid2
Brera Strumica1
Kozuf Gevgelija0
Shkupi2
Belasica Strumica3
Arsimi2
Bashkimi 20081
Detonit Plackovica4
Pobeda0
Bashkimi4
Evrotip Online1
Sileks7
Ljuboten Tetovo0
Makedonija GP14
TBD-
Struga-
Jeni Maale0
Shkendija Tetovo9
FK Skopje0
Tikves1
Shkendija Haracine2
Kamenica Sasa1
Teteks1
Pelister2
Karbinci0
Rabotnicki16
Pobeda Valandovo0
Bregalnica Stip6
1/8-finals
Vardar3
Novaci1
Ohrid3
Shkupi0
Belasica Strumica0
Detonit Plackovica1
Bashkimi1
Sileks2
Makedonija GP0
Struga5
Shkendija Tetovo2
Tikves0
Shkendija Haracine1
Pelister0
Rabotnicki2
Bregalnica Stip1
Quarter-finals
Vardar1
Ohrid2
Detonit Plackovica0
Sileks3
Struga2
Shkendija Tetovo3
Shkendija Haracine3
Rabotnicki1
Semi-finals
Ohrid1
Sileks2
Shkendija Tetovo5
Shkendija Haracine2
Final
Sileks1
Shkendija Tetovo0