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Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sokol Sieniawa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Wroblewski F.
12' Event
Jakubowski F.
37' Event
Niedzialkowski M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2023/2024 game between Podhale Nowy Targ and Sokol Sieniawa finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Podhale Nowy Targ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Podhale Nowy Targ
6%
Draws
4%
Sokol Sieniawa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Podhale Nowy Targ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Podhale Nowy Targ come out ahead of Sokol Sieniawa on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Podhale Nowy Targ taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Podhale Nowy Targ have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Podhale Nowy Targ Clean Sheet 20%
Sokol Sieniawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Podhale Nowy Targ Sokol Sieniawa
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 18 10
Draws 9 1
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sokol Sieniawa
5:1
Oct 29, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Sokol Sieniawa vs Podhale Nowy Targ
1:4
Apr 23, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sokol Sieniawa
4:1
Sep 18, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Sokol Sieniawa vs Podhale Nowy Targ
1:2
May 29, 2022 III Liga - Group IV
Podhale Nowy Targ vs Sokol Sieniawa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Podhale Nowy Targ Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakubowski F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niedzialkowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sokol Sieniawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Wroblewski F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Podhale Nowy Targ 85 / 100
Sokol Sieniawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Podhale Nowy Targ Sokol Sieniawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PNT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sokol Sieniawa conceded in 94% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Podhale Nowy Targ's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Podhale Nowy Targ has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Podhale Nowy Targ VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Podhale Nowy Targ

(Home)
25 Jul
Podhale Nowy Targ
3 : 1
Slask Wroclaw II
18 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1 : 4
Podhale Nowy Targ
11 Jul
Wisla II
2 : 0
Podhale Nowy Targ
04 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
1 : 3
Podhale Nowy Targ
01 Jul
Stal Mielec
1 : 5
Podhale Nowy Targ
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Sokol Sieniawa

(Away)
21 Feb
MZKS Pogon Lezajsk
2 : 4
Sokol Sieniawa
15 Feb
Sokol Sieniawa
2 : 1
Korona Rzeszow
12 Feb
Jaroslaw
4 : 2
Sokol Sieniawa
20 Jul
Sokol Sieniawa
0 : 1
Jaroslaw
08 Jun
Sokol Sieniawa
1 : 2
Wiazownica
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KS Wieczysta Krakow34253699:3578
2Siarka Tarnobrzeg34217670:3070
3Star Starachowice34206852:2766
4Avia Swidnik341761160:4157
5Wislanie Skawina341661256:4054
6Biala Podlaska341591047:3554
7Chelmianka Chelm341561361:5851
8Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski341471348:4449
9Czarni Polaniec341391258:5448
10Garbarnia3412101249:5846
11Wisloka Debica341291341:5345
12Swidniczanka Swidnik3411111243:4744
13Wiazownica341271555:7343
14Podhale Nowy Targ349121338:4039
15Unia Tarnow341061851:6636
16KS Karpaty Krosno34672126:6725
17Orleta Radzyn34592032:6124
18Sokol Sieniawa34722538:9523
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)