Sport Picks
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrow
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 
Match Events
38'
38'
Gajgier A.
55'
55'
Bayer B.
82'
82'
Zinkewycz O.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 game between Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Olimpia Zambrow finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Olimpia Zambrow carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 11%
Olimpia Zambrow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Olimpia Zambrow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.63 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.63 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrow
4:1
Sep 23, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:3
Mar 25, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Zambrow vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0:5
Aug 21, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrow
2:2
Oct 17, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrow
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Gajgier A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zinkewycz O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Olimpia Zambrow Compare
Top Goalscorer Bayer B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 83 / 100
Olimpia Zambrow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Olimpia Zambrow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Olimpia Zambrow has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS Olimpia Zambrow
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
(Home) 25 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1 Trencin
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1 Trencin
17 May
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 0 Tychy
02 May
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 KS Wieczysta Krakow
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Olimpia Zambrow
(Away) 18 Jul
Olimpia Zambrow
0 : 3 Troszyn
01 Mar
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 2 Pogon Siedlce 2
15 Feb
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
01 Feb
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1 Podlasie Sokolow Podlaski
29 Jan
Jagiellonia II
3 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
Page 1 of 6
15 Feb
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
29 Jan
Jagiellonia II
3 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
25 Jan
Troszyn
9 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
08 Jun
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 5 Olimpia Zambrow
25 May
Jagiellonia II
2 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 106:32 | 76 |
| 2 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:46 | 65 |
| 3 | Legia II | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:40 | 65 |
| 4 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 70:52 | 56 |
| 5 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:49 | 56 |
| 6 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 66:54 | 53 |
| 7 | Pelikan | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52:40 | 52 |
| 8 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 52:51 | 48 |
| 9 | Bron Radom | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 39:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 43:48 | 44 |
| 11 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:46 | 43 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:50 | 42 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48:58 | 42 |
| 14 | Victoria Sulejowek | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41:48 | 41 |
| 15 | Olimpia Zambrow | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52:48 | 40 |
| 16 | Concordia Elblag | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:98 | 30 |
| 17 | Legionowo | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 41:71 | 27 |
| 18 | Pilica Bialobrzegi | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 30:89 | 19 |
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)
