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Pogon Mogilno vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Bartkowiak B.
35' Event
Kujawa J.
36' Event
Bartkowiak B.

AI Match Summary

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Pogon Mogilno
17%
Draws
70%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Polonia Sroda Wielkopol have won more games recently than Pogon Mogilno.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Polonia Sroda Wielkopol taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pogon Mogilno Clean Sheet 17%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Mogilno Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 4 32
Wins 0 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Mogilno vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Mogilno Compare

Top Goalscorer Jagielski F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartkowiak B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Kujawa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Mogilno 15 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Mogilno Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Pogon Mogilno's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Mogilno VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%