Sport Picks
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Avia Swidnik
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
4'
4'
Chromych J.
59'
59'
Kaminski S.
62'
62'
Majda O.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow and Avia Swidnik finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Avia Swidnik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Avia Swidnik come out ahead of Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow on wins alone.
- Avia Swidnik are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 20%
Avia Swidnik Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | Avia Swidnik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 2.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Avia Swidnik
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2:1
Mar 15, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Avia Swidnik vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Avia Swidnik
1:1
Aug 21, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Avia Swidnik
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare
Top Goalscorer Chromych J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Majda O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Avia Swidnik Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaminski S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Remenyuk A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 20 / 100
Avia Swidnik 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Avia Swidnik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AVI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: Avia Swidnik conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Solid form: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow VS Avia Swidnik
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
(Home) 25 Jul
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
11 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
29 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 1 Star Starachowice
23 May
Wisla II
3 : 1 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Page 1 of 6
29 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 1 Star Starachowice
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
03 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1 : 3 Biala Podlaska
18 Apr
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1 : 2 Wisloka Debica
04 Apr
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 3
Avia Swidnik
(Away) 26 Jul
Avia Swidnik
4 : 1 Ol. Grudziadz
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
3 : 4 Avia Swidnik
11 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 2 Avia Swidnik
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3 Avia Swidnik
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Stal Mielec
3 : 4 Avia Swidnik
11 Jul
Stal Stalowa Wola
2 : 2 Avia Swidnik
30 May
Czarni Polaniec
2 : 3 Avia Swidnik
13 May
Star Starachowice
1 : 1 Avia Swidnik
01 May
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 1 Avia Swidnik
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
