Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Lewart Lubartow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mysliwiecki P.
30' Event
Chyla M.
Own Goal
83' Event
Morenkov K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 game between Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow and Lewart Lubartow finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
6%
Draws
4%
Lewart Lubartow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow come out ahead of Lewart Lubartow on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 20%
Lewart Lubartow Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Lewart Lubartow
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Lewart Lubartow
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Lewart Lubartow vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lewart Lubartow Compare

Top Goalscorer Mysliwiecki P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morenkov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 85 / 100
Lewart Lubartow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Lewart Lubartow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lewart Lubartow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

(Home)
25 Jul
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
11 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
3 : 1
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 1
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
29 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 1
Star Starachowice
23 May
Wisla II
3 : 1
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
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Lewart Lubartow

(Away)
07 Jun
Podhale Nowy Targ
4 : 0
Lewart Lubartow
30 May
Lewart Lubartow
2 : 2
Czarni Polaniec
24 May
Wisla II
4 : 2
Lewart Lubartow
21 May
Lewart Lubartow
0 : 3
Biala Podlaska
17 May
Wisloka Debica
2 : 0
Lewart Lubartow
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sandecja Nowy S.34228465:3174
2Podhale Nowy Targ34215867:4368
3Siarka Tarnobrzeg34205976:4265
4Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34196955:4063
5Avia Swidnik34188877:4462
6Korona Kielce II341710771:5061
7Star Starachowice341671161:4655
8Biala Podlaska341581159:4253
9Chelmianka Chelm341651374:6253
10Wisloka Debica341441661:5546
11Czarni Polaniec341181552:6441
12Wisla II341181572:6041
13Swidniczanka Swidnik341091544:5439
14Wislanie Skawina341091541:6039
15Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341071750:6837
16Wiazownica34791838:7030
17Lewart Lubartow34542531:8519
18Unia Tarnow34242828:10610
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)