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Stadium Background

Pogon Szczecin W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W

Poland Poland

Polish Cup Women
Pogon Szczecin W Logo

Pogon Szczecin W

Tue, Apr 21, 2026
1 - 2
04:00 PM
Czarni Sosnowiec W Logo

Czarni Sosnowiec W

Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Milek K.
(Penalty)
63' Event
Swirska L.
1' Event
Zgrzeba W.
Penalty Missed
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Czarni Sosnowiec W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pogon Szczecin W
6%
Draws
90%
Czarni Sosnowiec W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Czarni Sosnowiec W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Czarni Sosnowiec W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Czarni Sosnowiec W taking it.
  • Czarni Sosnowiec W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Czarni Sosnowiec W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • History favors Czarni Sosnowiec W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pogon Szczecin W Clean Sheet 10%
Czarni Sosnowiec W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin W Czarni Sosnowiec W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 23
Draws 4 2
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.13 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
2:2
Apr 21, 2026 Polish Cup Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Pogon Szczecin W
2:1
May 17, 2025 Polish Cup Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Pogon Szczecin W
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Swirska L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Czarni Sosnowiec W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin W 10 / 100
Czarni Sosnowiec W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin W Czarni Sosnowiec W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CZS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pogon Szczecin W scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Czarni Sosnowiec W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Pogon Szczecin W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin W VS Czarni Sosnowiec W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Szczecin W

(Home)
17 Jul
RB Leipzig W
9 : 0
Pogon Szczecin W
30 May
Pogon Szczecin W
1 : 0
Slask Wroclaw W
23 May
Leczna W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
02 May
Pogon Szczecin W
2 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
Page 1 of 6

Czarni Sosnowiec W

(Away)
25 Jul
Athlone W
1 : 3
Czarni Sosnowiec W
22 Jul
Czarni Sosnowiec W
7 : 1
WFC Lusso W
18 Jul
Slask Wroclaw W
2 : 5
Czarni Sosnowiec W
30 May
Czarni Sosnowiec W
3 : 2
UKS SMS Lodz W
23 May
Slask Wroclaw W
1 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Lech-UAM Poznan III W2
UJ Krakow II W0
Stomilanki Olsztyn II W1
Pabianice W0
Slask Wroclaw II W5
Bielawianka Bielawa W0
Unia Lublin II W0
Medyk Konin W9
Pultusk W0
Czarni Sosnowiec II W9
Lech-UAM Poznan II W1
Pogon Tczew W4
TAF Torun II W0
Wlokniarz Bialystok W2
GKS Katowice II W0
Pogon Szczecin W9
Legia II W5
Loczki Wyszkow W0
KKP Bydgoszcz W0
Czworka Radom W1
TAF Torun W0
Trojka Staszkowka W20
Lechia Gdansk W0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W5
Dab Zabierzow W3
LFA Szczecin W0
Wanda Krakow W0
UKS SMS Lodz W3
Kolbuszowa Dolna W2
R. Rzeszow W6
Unia Opole W0
Czarni Sosnowiec W30
Medyk Konin II W3
Ostrovia Ostrow W1
AKS SMS Lodz W2
KKP Warszawa W3
Slupczanka Slupca W1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W6
Iskra Tarnow W0
Lech-UAM Poznan W4
Rekord Bielsko-Biala II W1
Stare Oborzyska W2
Grodzisk Wielkopolski W0
Leczna W6
Kostrzyn nad Odra W1
Wisla W2
MKS Myszkow W0
Stomilanki Olsztyn W4
UKS SMS Lodz II W9
Praga Warszawa W0
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski W1
Wisla Plock W4
Lubartow W0
Legia W3
Unia Lublin W0
UJ Krakow W2
Beniaminek Krosno W5
UW Warszawa W1
Sleza Wroclaw W4
Slask Wroclaw W2
Myslenice W0
GKS Katowice W6
Pogon Szczecin II W0
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W4
1/16-finals
Lech-UAM Poznan III W5
Stomilanki Olsztyn II W1
Slask Wroclaw II W0
Medyk Konin W2
Czarni Sosnowiec II W2
Pogon Tczew W0
Wlokniarz Bialystok W0
Pogon Szczecin W9
Legia II W2
Czworka Radom W3
Trojka Staszkowka W0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W5
Dab Zabierzow W0
UKS SMS Lodz W6
R. Rzeszow W0
Czarni Sosnowiec W5
Medyk Konin II W1
KKP Warszawa W2
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol W0
Lech-UAM Poznan W5
Stare Oborzyska W1
Leczna W5
Wisla W2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W7
UKS SMS Lodz II W6
Wisla Plock W0
Legia W4
UJ Krakow W2
Beniaminek Krosno W1
Sleza Wroclaw W2
GKS Katowice W2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W0
1/8-finals
Lech-UAM Poznan III W2
Medyk Konin W0
Czarni Sosnowiec II W2
Pogon Szczecin W3
Czworka Radom W1
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W5
UKS SMS Lodz W1
Czarni Sosnowiec W2
KKP Warszawa W0
Lech-UAM Poznan W5
Leczna W4
Stomilanki Olsztyn W0
UKS SMS Lodz II W1
Legia W3
Sleza Wroclaw W0
GKS Katowice W2
Quarter-finals
Lech-UAM Poznan III W1
Pogon Szczecin W2
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W0
Czarni Sosnowiec W2
Lech-UAM Poznan W1
Leczna W0
Legia W1
GKS Katowice W2
Semi-finals
Pogon Szczecin W1
Czarni Sosnowiec W2
Lech-UAM Poznan W0
GKS Katowice W5
Final
Czarni Sosnowiec W2
GKS Katowice W5