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Pogon Szczecin W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Choi D.
8' Event
Swirska L.
16' Event
Szymaszek W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Pogon Szczecin W in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 7-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Szczecin W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon Szczecin W
6%
Draws
4%
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Szczecin W have won more games recently than Stomilanki Olsztyn W.
  • Pogon Szczecin W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pogon Szczecin W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Pogon Szczecin W Clean Sheet 68%
Stomilanki Olsztyn W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin W Stomilanki Olsztyn W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W
7:2
Aug 31, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Pogon Szczecin W
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 Polish Cup Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Pogon Szczecin W
1:5
Oct 23, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Pogon Szczecin W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Choi D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Swirska L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Stomilanki Olsztyn W Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Se-Yeon K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin W 95 / 100
Stomilanki Olsztyn W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin W Stomilanki Olsztyn W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Szczecin W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Stomilanki Olsztyn W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pogon Szczecin W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin W VS Stomilanki Olsztyn W
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Szczecin W

(Home)
17 Jul
RB Leipzig W
9 : 0
Pogon Szczecin W
30 May
Pogon Szczecin W
1 : 0
Slask Wroclaw W
23 May
Leczna W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
02 May
Pogon Szczecin W
2 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
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Stomilanki Olsztyn W

(Away)
23 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
2 : 0
Czworka Radom W
18 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0 : 3
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
30 May
UJ Krakow W
4 : 0
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
10 May
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
1 : 3
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)