Sport Picks

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Pogon Tczew W vs Leczna W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Redzia A.
11' Event
Sanford K.
24' Event
Redzia A.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between Pogon Tczew W and Leczna W finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leczna W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pogon Tczew W
6%
Draws
90%
Leczna W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leczna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Tczew W haven't matched Leczna W's recent run of results.
  • Leczna W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Leczna W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 10%
Leczna W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Tczew W Leczna W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 22
Draws 5 2
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Leczna W
0:5
Nov 8, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Leczna W vs Pogon Tczew W
3:1
Mar 23, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Leczna W
2:4
Sep 14, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Leczna W vs Pogon Tczew W
6:0
May 11, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Leczna W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Leczna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Redzia A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sanford K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
Leczna W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Tczew W Leczna W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pogon Tczew W scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Leczna W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Pogon Tczew W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Tczew W VS Leczna W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Tczew W

(Home)
30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5
Leczna W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2
Pogon Tczew W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1
Pogon Tczew W
Page 1 of 6

Leczna W

(Away)
30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5
Leczna W
23 May
Leczna W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
10 May
Czarni Sosnowiec W
4 : 1
Leczna W
02 May
Leczna W
2 : 1
GKS Katowice W
25 Apr
Lech-UAM Poznan W
1 : 3
Leczna W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)