Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon Tczew W vs Skra Czestochowa W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2024/2025 Stadion Miejski im. Alfonsa Guzinskiego, Tczew
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Iriguchi N.
33'
Tobiczyk K.
58'
Sub
Witczak A. In: Conceicao I.
Out: Witczak A.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Tczew W in this Ekstraliga Women 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Tczew W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pogon Tczew W
20%
Draws
38%
Skra Czestochowa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogon Tczew W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Pogon Tczew W have won more games recently than Skra Czestochowa W.
  • Pogon Tczew W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Pogon Tczew W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 11%
Skra Czestochowa W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Tczew W Skra Czestochowa W
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 6 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 21 24
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Skra Czestochowa W vs Pogon Tczew W
0:3
Feb 13, 2025 Polish Cup Women
Skra Czestochowa W vs Pogon Tczew W
0:3
Nov 10, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Skra Czestochowa W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Top Goalscorer Iriguchi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaminska K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Skra Czestochowa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Tczew W 40 / 100
Skra Czestochowa W 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Tczew W Skra Czestochowa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skra Czestochowa W let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Skra Czestochowa W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Pogon Tczew W's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Tczew W VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Tczew W

(Home)
30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5
Leczna W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2
Pogon Tczew W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1
Pogon Tczew W
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Skra Czestochowa W

(Away)
24 May
Skra Czestochowa W
0 : 3
Pogon Tczew W
10 May
Leczna W
3 : 0
Skra Czestochowa W
03 May
Skra Czestochowa W
0 : 3
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
26 Apr
Slask Wroclaw W
3 : 0
Skra Czestochowa W
19 Apr
Skra Czestochowa W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1GKS Katowice W22210174:863
2Czarni Sosnowiec W22171483:1752
3Pogon Szczecin W22170560:2051
4Leczna W22152554:1947
5Slask Wroclaw W22122848:3638
6UKS SMS Lodz W2296731:1733
7AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22841030:3428
8Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22731221:4024
9Pogon Tczew W22531424:5818
10Stomilanki Olsztyn W22441425:6816
11R. Rzeszow W22151616:798
12Skra Czestochowa W2210215:753
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)