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Pogon Tczew W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Se-Yeon K.
51' Event
Drozak J.
59' Event
Jacobs A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Pogon Tczew W
28%
Draws
50%
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Stomilanki Olsztyn W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Stomilanki Olsztyn W lately — more wins on the board than Pogon Tczew W.
  • Stomilanki Olsztyn W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Stomilanki Olsztyn W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 10%
Stomilanki Olsztyn W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Tczew W Stomilanki Olsztyn W
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 3 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W
2:2
Oct 30, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Pogon Tczew W
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Stomilanki Olsztyn W
1:2
Oct 6, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Pogon Tczew W
2:0
May 5, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Stomilanki Olsztyn W vs Pogon Tczew W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Top Goalscorer Drozak J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jacobs A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Stomilanki Olsztyn W Compare

Top Goalscorer Se-Yeon K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puchalska K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Tczew W 22 / 100
Stomilanki Olsztyn W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Tczew W Stomilanki Olsztyn W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stomilanki Olsztyn W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Stomilanki Olsztyn W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pogon Tczew W's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Tczew W VS Stomilanki Olsztyn W
1.13 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667