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Pohja-Sakala vs Flora

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2020/2021
Thu, Nov 12, 2020
0 - 3
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2020/2021. Pohja-Sakala are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Pohja-Sakala at 2.5 goals for, 2.58 against; Flora at 2.13 for, 1.32 against. Head-to-head, Pohja-Sakala have won 0 to Flora's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 12, 2020, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Pohja-Sakala. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pohja-Sakala
15%
Draws
50%
Flora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Flora come out ahead of Pohja-Sakala on wins alone.
  • Pohja-Sakala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Flora arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Flora, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pohja-Sakala Clean Sheet 20%
Flora Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohja-Sakala Flora
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 6 19
Draws 0 3
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.58 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2020 Estonian Cup
Pohja-Sakala vs Flora
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohja-Sakala 85 / 100
Flora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohja-Sakala Flora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pohja-Sakala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pohja-Sakala scored in 92% of their last 12 games.

Flora let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Pohja-Sakala remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Flora
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pohja-Sakala

(Home)
12 Nov
Pohja-Sakala
0 : 3
Flora
02 Sept
Pohja-Sakala
6 : 1
Lelle
28 Jul
Pohja-Sakala
5 : 1
Aksi Wolves
20 Aug
Pohja-Sakala
0 : 3
Tallinna Kalev
28 Jul
Pohja-Sakala
5 : 1
Helios
Page 1 of 3

Flora

(Away)
20 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U19 -
FCI Tallinn 5
Helios 1
Kuressaare 18
Anija 0
Pohja-Sakala 5
Aksi Wolves 1
TBD -
Lelle -
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Teleios 1
TBD -
Soccernet -
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva -
Viimsi Lovid -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Vastseliina Tannem -
TBD -
Narva 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 0
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
Parnu Sadam 8
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond IV 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 2
Raplamaa 3
Eston Villa II 0
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Imavere Forss -
TBD -
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev 6
Nomme Utd 3
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
Rummu Dunamo -
Kohvile 9
JK 32. keskkool 0
TBD -
Tallinn Piraaja -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
Legion 9
HF Beer 0
Saku Sporting 6
Kadakas 0
TBD -
Rakvere -
Paide Linnameeskond 24
Eyjafjallajokull 0
TBD -
Tulevik U21 -
Tallinna Pocarr 3
Igiliikur 0
TBD -
ReUnited -
Olympic Tallinn 1
JK Poseidon 2
TBD -
Kose -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Maardu Aliens -
Legion II -
TBD -
FC Tallinn 2
Elva 1
Vandra Vaprus -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Levadia 6
Kohtla-Nomme 0
JK Retro -
TBD -
Loo JK 9
Metsis 1
Eston Villa 2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 -
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Jogeva Wolves 2
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Viimsi JK 4
Kristiine 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 9
FC Sssolutions 0
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2
Flora U19 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Kuressaare 3
Pohja-Sakala 6
Lelle 1
Parnu 1
Flora 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Soccernet 1
Rumori Calcio II 3
FC Lootos Polva 0
Viimsi Lovid 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Zenit Tallinn 0
Tammeka Tartu 13
Helm 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Narva 5
Rumori Calcio 2
Parnu Sadam 3
Tallinna Wolves 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Raplamaa 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Jogeva 1
FC Hell Hunt 2
Imavere Forss 5
Valga Warrior 1
TransferWise 0
Tallinna Kalev 11
Kalju 8
Rummu Dunamo 0
Kohvile 1
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Maksatransport 0
Legion 6
Saku Sporting 3
Rakvere 2
Paide Linnameeskond 9
Tulevik U21 0
Tallinna Pocarr 1
ReUnited 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kose 2
Tulevik -
Maardu Aliens -
Legion II 0
FC Tallinn 4
Vandra Vaprus 5
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Levadia 2
JK Retro 5
Loo JK 0
Eston Villa 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 0
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Jarva-Jaani 0
Viimsi JK 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Hiiumaa 3
Keila JK 4
1/16-finals
Tartu JK Welco 1
Kuressaare 6
Pohja-Sakala 0
Flora 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 2
Rumori Calcio II 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Helm 1
Narva 2
Parnu Sadam -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Raplamaa 1
FC Hell Hunt 2
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Kalju 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Legion 11
Saku Sporting 0
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Tallinna Pocarr 0
Kose 0
Tulevik 8
FC Tallinn 2
Vandra Vaprus 0
Levadia 5
JK Retro 0
Eston Villa 2
Pohja-Tallinna 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Keila JK 3
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 0
Flora 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Tammeka Tartu 15
Narva 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
FC Hell Hunt 0
Tallinna Kalev 4
Kalju 3
Legion 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Tulevik 3
FC Tallinn 0
Levadia 3
Eston Villa 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Kalju 1
Tulevik 2
Levadia 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 2
Narva 1
Tulevik 0
Levadia 2
Final
Flora 0
Levadia 1