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World

Friendly International Women 2025

Italy U16 W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Poland U16 W play Italy U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2025. Poland U16 W are favorites here. Recently, Poland U16 W averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1 conceded. Italy U16 W averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Poland U16 W won 1, Italy U16 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 22, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.40 for Poland U16 W and 1.19 for Italy U16 W. This points to a Poland U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Poland U16 W

15%

Draws

29%

Italy U16 W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Poland U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Italy U16 W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.40 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Poland U16 W Clean Sheet 20%

Italy U16 W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Poland U16 W	Italy U16 W
Matches Played	6	17
Wins	5	8
Draws	0	2
Losses	1	7
Goals Scored	2.67	1.47
Goals Conceded	1	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	2.67	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2025 Friendly International Women

Poland U16 W vs Italy U16 W

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 4 - 4

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Galuszka N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Urbanczyk L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.33

Italy U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cacace V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ciccarelli M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U16 W 54 / 100

Italy U16 W 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Poland U16 W Italy U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U16 W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Poland U16 W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Poland U16 W attacking → ← attacking Italy U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland U16 W scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

Italy U16 W let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Poland U16 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Italy U16 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 26

2.67 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13