Sport Picks

Europe

Euro 2024 Olympiastadion, Berlin

Poland

1 - 3

Austria

Our Tip

Match Events

Trauner G.

Assist: Mwene P.

30'

Piatek K.

46'

Sub

Piotrowski J. In: Moder J.

Out: Piotrowski J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Austria in this Euro 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Poland

20%

Draws

40%

Austria

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Poland haven't matched Austria's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%

Poland Clean Sheet 68%

Austria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Poland	Austria
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	14	16
Draws	7	6
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	1.67	2.07
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2024 Euro

Poland vs Austria

1:3

Sep 9, 2019 Euro

Poland vs Austria

0:0

Mar 21, 2019 Euro

Austria vs Poland

0:1

Jun 12, 2008 Euro

Austria vs Poland

1:1

Sep 3, 2005 World Championship

Poland vs Austria

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland Compare

Top Goalscorer Piatek K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Austria Compare

Top Goalscorer Trauner G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Baumgartner C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.76

Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland 41 / 100

Austria 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Poland Austria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Austria has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Poland remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Poland VS Austria

1.63 Goals Scored 2.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38

88% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland

(Home)

03 Jun

Poland

2 : 2

Nigeria

31 May

Poland

0 : 2

Ukraine

31 Mar

Sweden

3 : 2

Poland

26 Mar

Poland

2 : 1

Albania

17 Nov

Malta

2 : 3

Poland

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Austria

(Away)

02 Jul

Spain

3 : 0

Austria

28 Jun

Algeria

3 : 3

Austria

22 Jun

Argentina

2 : 0

Austria

17 Jun

Austria

3 : 1

Jordan

01 Jun

Austria

1 : 0

Tunisia

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