Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Murphy E.
Assist: Sheva M.
20'
20'
McCabe K.
43'
43'
Pawollek T.
Assist: Tomasiak P.
AI Match Summary
Ireland W in this World Cup Women tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
11%
80%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ireland W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Ireland W at 2.13 per game, Poland W at 1.75.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Ireland W taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Ireland W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Poland W Clean Sheet 12%
Ireland W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Poland W | Ireland W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 World Cup Women
Ireland W vs Poland W
1:0
Apr 14, 2026 World Cup Women
Poland W vs Ireland W
2:3
Feb 16, 2022 Friendly International Women
Ireland W vs Poland W
2:1
Oct 9, 2018 Friendly International Women
Poland W vs Ireland W
4:0
Mar 12, 2008 Algarve Cup Women
Ireland W vs Poland W
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Poland W Compare
Top Goalscorer Pawollek T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pajor E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Ireland W Compare
Top Goalscorer Murphy E.
1 Goals Assists Leader McCabe K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Poland W 11 / 100
Ireland W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Poland W Ireland W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Poland W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Ireland W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Ireland W's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Poland W VS Ireland W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Poland W
(Home) 09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1 Poland W
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2 France W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0 Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3 Ireland W
07 Mar
France W
4 : 1 Poland W
Page 1 of 6
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2 France W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3 Ireland W
03 Mar
Poland W
2 : 2 Netherlands W
02 Dec
Poland W
3 : 0 Latvia W
28 Nov
Poland W
1 : 0 Slovenia W
Page 1 of 4
Ireland W
(Away) 09 Jun
France W
1 : 0 Ireland W
05 Jun
Ireland W
3 : 2 Netherlands W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0 Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3 Ireland W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1 Ireland W
Page 1 of 6
09 Jun
France W
1 : 0 Ireland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3 Ireland W
07 Mar
Netherlands W
2 : 1 Ireland W
28 Oct
Belgium W
2 : 1 Ireland W
29 Jun
USA W
4 : 0 Ireland W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark W | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Italy W | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Sweden W | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Serbia W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:17 | 1 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Netherlands W | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 3 | Ireland W | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Poland W | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 1 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21:3 | 15 |
| 2 | England W | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Iceland W | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Ukraine W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:19 | 0 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany W | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Norway W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 3 | Austria W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Slovenia W | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:16 | 3 |
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)
