Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Police vs Etoile de L'Est

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Police and Etoile de L'Est finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etoile de L'Est.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Police
15%
Draws
26%
Etoile de L'Est
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Police carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Police are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Police have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Police Clean Sheet 20%
Etoile de L'Est Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Etoile de L'Est
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 15 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.86 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Premier League
Police vs Etoile de L'Est
1:2
Dec 8, 2023 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Police
0:3
Feb 13, 2022 Premier League
Police vs Etoile de L'Est
6:0
Oct 31, 2021 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Police
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 67 / 100
Etoile de L'Est 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Etoile de L'Est

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: Police scored in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Etoile de L'Est let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Police went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Police VS Etoile de L'Est
0.88 Goals Scored 0.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
17 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 1
Police
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2
Gicumbi
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 8

Etoile de L'Est

(Away)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
11 May
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 3
Bugesera
04 May
Police
1 : 2
Etoile de L'Est
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)