Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polisi Tanzania vs Tanzania Prisons

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Philemon J.
47' Event
Tariq S.
59' Event
Mpuka E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Polisi Tanzania advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Polisi Tanzania
39%
Draws
31%
Tanzania Prisons
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tanzania Prisons come out ahead of Polisi Tanzania on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Tanzania Prisons arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Polisi Tanzania, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polisi Tanzania Tanzania Prisons
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 2.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania
1:0
Jul 12, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Tanzania Prisons
4:0
Feb 19, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Tanzania Prisons
1:0
Oct 25, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania
2:0
May 1, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Polisi Tanzania
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polisi Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Mpuka E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Philemon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Tanzania Prisons Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polisi Tanzania 41 / 100
Tanzania Prisons 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polisi Tanzania Tanzania Prisons

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polisi Tanzania found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Tanzania Prisons has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Polisi Tanzania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polisi Tanzania VS Tanzania Prisons
2.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Polisi Tanzania

(Home)
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0
Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
05 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
3 : 1
Mbeya Kwanza
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4
Polisi Tanzania
09 Jun
Azam
8 : 0
Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

Tanzania Prisons

(Away)
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0
Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0
Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0
Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tanzania Prisons0
Mbeya City2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Polisi Tanzania7
Mbeya Kwanza1
Final
Mbeya City-
TBD-
Tanzania Prisons1
Polisi Tanzania4