Sport Picks
Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya Kwanza Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 
Match Events
23'
23'
Kyombo H.
Assist: Hafidh R.
34'
34'
Haruna K.
Assist: Seif Kiakala T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polisi Tanzania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Mbeya Kwanza haven't matched Polisi Tanzania's recent run of results.
- Model gives Polisi Tanzania a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%
Mbeya Kwanza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polisi Tanzania | Mbeya Kwanza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.27 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya Kwanza
3:1
Jun 28, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Polisi Tanzania
0:4
Apr 16, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Mbeya Kwanza
1:1
Nov 1, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya Kwanza vs Polisi Tanzania
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polisi Tanzania Compare
Top Goalscorer Haruna K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.14
Mbeya Kwanza Compare
Top Goalscorer Kyombo H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polisi Tanzania 95 / 100
Mbeya Kwanza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polisi Tanzania Mbeya Kwanza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polisi Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mbeya Kwanza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Difficult form: Mbeya Kwanza registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Polisi Tanzania scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Polisi Tanzania VS Mbeya Kwanza
1.75 Goals Scored 0.2
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.8
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Polisi Tanzania
(Home) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 JKT Tanzania
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12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 JKT Tanzania
15 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 1 Azam
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
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Mbeya Kwanza
(Away) 05 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
3 : 1 Mbeya Kwanza
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4 Polisi Tanzania
13 Mar
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2 Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
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05 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
3 : 1 Mbeya Kwanza
13 Mar
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
22 Jun
Kinondoni MC
4 : 1 Mbeya Kwanza
15 Jun
Azam
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 49:8 | 74 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 41:14 | 61 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 41:28 | 49 |
| 4 | Geita Gold | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 32:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Namungo | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 42:34 | 41 |
| 6 | Kagera Sugar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 20:25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 22:31 | 38 |
| 8 | Polisi Tanzania | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 21:23 | 37 |
| 9 | Mbeya City | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 10 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34:35 | 35 |
| 11 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 25:37 | 35 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 28:39 | 34 |
| 13 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 31 |
| 14 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 21:34 | 29 |
| 15 | Biashara Mara United | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 23:35 | 28 |
| 16 | Mbeya Kwanza | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 22:39 | 25 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
