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Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru Chisinau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Politehnica UTM host Zimbru Chisinau in the Super Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Politehnica UTM at 1.72 goals for, 1.48 against; Zimbru Chisinau at 1.97 for, 0.94 against. Head-to-head, Politehnica UTM have won 0 to Zimbru Chisinau's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.38) back Zimbru Chisinau to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Politehnica UTM
30%
Draws
29%
Zimbru Chisinau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Politehnica UTM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Politehnica UTM haven't matched Zimbru Chisinau's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Politehnica UTM taking it.
  • Regular Super Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zimbru Chisinau here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 17%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Politehnica UTM Zimbru Chisinau
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM
2:1
Jul 26, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:2
Apr 21, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Politehnica UTM vs Zimbru Chisinau
0:5
Mar 3, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM
5:0
Nov 30, 2025 Super Liga
Zimbru Chisinau vs Politehnica UTM
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Politehnica UTM 39 / 100
Zimbru Chisinau 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Politehnica UTM Zimbru Chisinau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Politehnica UTM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Politehnica UTM scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Politehnica UTM remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Zimbru Chisinau conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Politehnica UTM VS Zimbru Chisinau
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Politehnica UTM

(Home)
27 Oct
Politehnica UTM
5 : 1
FC Chisinau
24 Oct
Politehnica UTM
0 : 2
Sheriff Tiraspol
18 Oct
CSF Balti
1 : 4
Politehnica UTM
11 Oct
Milsami
3 : 3
Politehnica UTM
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
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Zimbru Chisinau

(Away)
25 Oct
Zimbru Chisinau
4 : 0
CSF Balti
18 Oct
Milsami
1 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau
11 Oct
Petrocub Hincesti
1 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 2
Bukovyna
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 3
Bukovyna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 16 11 4 1 41:12 37
2 Zimbru Chisinau 16 9 4 3 33:14 31
3 Petrocub Hincesti 16 8 5 3 27:15 29
4 Dacia Buiucani 16 7 3 6 22:22 24
5 Politehnica UTM 16 5 4 7 25:25 19
6 Milsami 16 4 7 5 18:23 19
7 Real Sireti 16 1 7 8 12:24 10
8 CSF Balti 16 1 2 13 10:53 5
Promotion - Super Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super Liga (Relegation Group)