Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polonia Nysa vs Gornik Zabrze II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Rupanov B.
40' Event
Plocica M.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Pawlak M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Polonia Nysa and Gornik Zabrze II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gornik Zabrze II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Polonia Nysa
30%
Draws
34%
Gornik Zabrze II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Polonia Nysa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Polonia Nysa haven't matched Gornik Zabrze II's recent run of results.
  • Polonia Nysa are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 13%
Gornik Zabrze II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Nysa Gornik Zabrze II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Gornik Zabrze II
1:2
Aug 31, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Polonia Nysa
2:2
Apr 22, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Polonia Nysa
0:0
Sep 17, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Gornik Zabrze II
2:2
May 1, 2021 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Gornik Zabrze II
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Nysa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pawlak M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gornik Zabrze II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rupanov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Nysa 35 / 100
Gornik Zabrze II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Nysa Gornik Zabrze II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Nysa's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gornik Zabrze II has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Polonia Nysa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Nysa VS Gornik Zabrze II
1.13 Goals Scored 1.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Nysa

(Home)
25 Jul
Olawa
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
24 Jul
Brzeg
2 : 0
Polonia Nysa
18 Jul
Strzegom
0 : 0
Polonia Nysa
15 Jul
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0 : 2
Polonia Nysa
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
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Gornik Zabrze II

(Away)
30 May
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Gornik Zabrze II
22 May
Gornik Zabrze II
6 : 0
Polkowice
16 May
Goczalkowice Zdroj
2 : 2
Gornik Zabrze II
13 May
Gornik Zabrze II
0 : 1
Legnica II
09 May
Skra Czestochowa
1 : 2
Gornik Zabrze II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)