Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lipno Steszew

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
36' Event
Olejniczak M.
65' Event
Krzos A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Polonia Sroda Wielkopol and Lipno Steszew finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lipno Steszew.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
39%
Draws
30%
Lipno Steszew
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lipno Steszew come out ahead of Polonia Sroda Wielkopol on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 16%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Lipno Steszew
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Lipno Steszew vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:3
Sep 12, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lipno Steszew
2:0
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Lipno Steszew
2:3
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Lipno Steszew vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Olejniczak M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krzos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lipno Steszew Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 31 / 100
Lipno Steszew 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Lipno Steszew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Lipno Steszew has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Polonia Sroda Wielkopol stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Lipno Steszew
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

(Home)
18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3
Ol. Grudziadz
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
08 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 0
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1
Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 6

Lipno Steszew

(Away)
25 Jul
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 0
Lipno Steszew
18 Jul
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 2
Lipno Steszew
15 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
3 : 0
Lipno Steszew
11 Jul
Lipno Steszew
3 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
04 Jul
Kleczew
0 : 1
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6