Sport Picks
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
Poland
III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 
Match Events
38'
38'
Doba S.
48'
48'
Bartkowiak B.
Penalty Missed
65'
65'
Manikowski M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Polonia Sroda Wielkopol and Nowe Skalmierzyce finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Sroda Wielkopol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nowe Skalmierzyce
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Nowe Skalmierzyce haven't matched Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Nowe Skalmierzyce's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 19%
Nowe Skalmierzyce Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | Nowe Skalmierzyce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:2
May 17, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:1
Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly
Nowe Skalmierzyce vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2:2
Oct 18, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Nowe Skalmierzyce
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare
Top Goalscorer Doba S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Wilczynski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Nowe Skalmierzyce Compare
Top Goalscorer Manikowski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 20 / 100
Nowe Skalmierzyce 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Nowe Skalmierzyce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Nowe Skalmierzyce has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol VS Nowe Skalmierzyce
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
(Home) 18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3 Ol. Grudziadz
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
08 Jul
Zawisza
1 : 0 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Kluczevia Stargard
1 : 2 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 3 Ol. Grudziadz
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
17 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
4 : 0 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
08 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 1 Tluchowo
25 Apr
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
Page 1 of 3
Nowe Skalmierzyce
(Away) 10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0 Lech Poznan II
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
13 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
0 : 0 Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6
10 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 0 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 May
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
16 May
Cartusia Kartuzy
0 : 1 Nowe Skalmierzyce
30 Apr
Luzino
4 : 3 Nowe Skalmierzyce
25 Apr
Notec Czarnkow
1 : 2 Nowe Skalmierzyce
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zawisza | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 73:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Luzino | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:39 | 76 |
| 3 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 67:43 | 66 |
| 4 | Lipno Steszew | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 47:54 | 51 |
| 5 | Notec Czarnkow | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 67:54 | 49 |
| 7 | Elana Torun | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:55 | 49 |
| 8 | Swinoujscie | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 48:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Wda Swiecie | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:66 | 48 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Kluczevia Stargard | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54:43 | 46 |
| 12 | Blekitni Stargard | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:51 | 45 |
| 13 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:46 | 42 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin II | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 75:66 | 41 |
| 15 | Nowe Skalmierzyce | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:46 | 39 |
| 16 | Cartusia Kartuzy | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 38:51 | 38 |
| 17 | Tluchowo | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:66 | 31 |
| 18 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 20:84 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
