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Pompei vs Acerrana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Sun, Dec 7, 2025
3 - 0
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Lomasto P.
68' Event
Maniero R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Pompei host Acerrana in the Serie D - Group H. Pompei go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Pompei at 1 goals for, 1.38 against; Acerrana at 1.25 for, 2.63 against. Past meetings favor Pompei slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.31) point toward Pompei. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pompei
6%
Draws
4%
Acerrana
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pompei lately — more wins on the board than Acerrana.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Pompei taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Pompei Clean Sheet 68%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pompei Acerrana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 24
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Pompei
1:3
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs Acerrana
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pompei Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Acerrana Compare

Top Goalscorer Lomasto P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pompei 95 / 100
Acerrana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pompei Acerrana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acerrana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Acerrana has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Recent resilience: Pompei stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pompei VS Acerrana
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pompei

(Home)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

Acerrana

(Away)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)