Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pompei vs Acerrana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Sun, Dec 7, 2025
3 - 0
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Lomasto P.
68' Event
Maniero R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Pompei host Acerrana in the Serie D - Group H 2025/2026. Pompei go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Pompei at 0.87 goals for, 1.3 against; Acerrana at 0.6 for, 2.33 against. Past meetings favor Pompei slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.31) point toward Pompei. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pompei
15%
Draws
0%
Acerrana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pompei lately — more wins on the board than Acerrana.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Pompei taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Pompei Clean Sheet 68%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pompei Acerrana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 24
Goals Scored 0.87 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Pompei
1:3
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs Acerrana
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pompei Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Acerrana Compare

Top Goalscorer Lomasto P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pompei 95 / 100
Acerrana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pompei Acerrana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pompei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acerrana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Acerrana has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Recent resilience: Pompei stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pompei VS Acerrana
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pompei

(Home)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 6

Acerrana

(Away)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)