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Pontardawe vs Cwmaman Institute

Wales Wales

Division 1 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pontardawe play Cwmaman Institute in the Division 1 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pontardawe averaged 1.66 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. Cwmaman Institute averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Pontardawe won 1, Cwmaman Institute won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 24, 2012 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Pontardawe and 1.88 for Cwmaman Institute. This points to a Pontardawe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pontardawe
26%
Draws
28%
Cwmaman Institute
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Pontardawe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Pontardawe picked up more points recently compared to Cwmaman Institute.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Pontardawe Clean Sheet 10%
Cwmaman Institute Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontardawe Cwmaman Institute
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.66 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.28 2.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2012 Division 1
Pontardawe vs Cwmaman Institute
1:1
Oct 15, 2011 Division 1
Cwmaman Institute vs Pontardawe
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontardawe 43 / 100
Cwmaman Institute 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontardawe Cwmaman Institute

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pontardawe or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pontardawe attacking → ← attacking Cwmaman Institute

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontardawe scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Cwmaman Institute let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Pontardawe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cwmaman Institute lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 25
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00