Sport Picks

Brazil

Paraense Women 2024

Cabanos W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ponte Nova PA W play Cabanos W in the Paraense Women 2024. Cabanos W are favorites here. Recently, Ponte Nova PA W averaged 0.5 goals scored and 4.5 conceded. Cabanos W averaged 2.38 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. In past meetings, Ponte Nova PA W won 0, Cabanos W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 28, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Ponte Nova PA W and 3.44 for Cabanos W. This points to a Cabanos W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Ponte Nova PA W

15%

Draws

72%

Cabanos W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cabanos W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ponte Nova PA W picked up more points recently compared to Cabanos W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 3.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 89%

Over 3.5 Goals 53%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Ponte Nova PA W Clean Sheet 10%

Cabanos W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ponte Nova PA W	Cabanos W
Matches Played	8	8
Wins	0	4
Draws	0	0
Losses	8	4
Goals Scored	0.5	2.38
Goals Conceded	4.5	2.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.50	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2024 Paraense Women

Cabanos W vs Ponte Nova PA W

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Nov 5, 2024 Paraense Women

Ponte Nova PA W vs Cabanos W

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte Nova PA W 14 / 100

Cabanos W 67 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ponte Nova PA W Cabanos W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cabanos W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Cabanos W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +160%

20.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +6.8%

1.20

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ponte Nova PA W attacking → ← attacking Cabanos W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte Nova PA W scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Cabanos W let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ponte Nova PA W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Cabanos W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 12

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tuna Luso W	8	7	1	0	65:3	22
2	Remo W	8	6	1	1	31:3	19
3	Castelo dos Sonhos W	8	4	0	4	31:11	12
4	Cruzeirao W	8	2	0	6	13:47	6
5	Atletico JM9 W	8	0	0	8	1:77	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tiradentes PA W	8	7	1	0	41:4	22
2	Paysandu PA W	8	6	1	1	41:2	19
3	Cabanos W	8	4	0	4	19:19	12
4	Atletico Boca Junior W	8	2	0	6	9:53	6
5	Ponte Nova PA W	8	0	0	8	4:36	0