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Ponte San Pietro vs Calcio Romanese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ponte San Pietro play Calcio Romanese in the Serie D - Group B 2017/2018. Ponte San Pietro are favorites here. Recently, Ponte San Pietro averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Calcio Romanese averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Ponte San Pietro won 2, Calcio Romanese won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 4, 2018 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Ponte San Pietro and 1.38 for Calcio Romanese. This points to a Ponte San Pietro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Ponte San Pietro
17%
Draws
21%
Calcio Romanese
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ponte San Pietro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Ponte San Pietro picked up more points recently compared to Calcio Romanese.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 17%
Calcio Romanese Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponte San Pietro Calcio Romanese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 1
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 0.74 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Calcio Romanese
2:1
Oct 1, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Calcio Romanese vs Ponte San Pietro
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponte San Pietro 59 / 100
Calcio Romanese 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponte San Pietro Calcio Romanese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ponte San Pietro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ponte San Pietro & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ponte San Pietro attacking → ← attacking Calcio Romanese

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte San Pietro scored in 35% of their last 31 games.

Calcio Romanese let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ponte San Pietro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Calcio Romanese lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 7
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pro Patria362310358:2279
2Rezzato36246684:3578
3Ponte San Pietro36217867:4470
4Pergolettese361910757:3767
5Darfo Boario361881051:3062
6Ciserano-Bergamo361841457:4658
7Lecco3616101046:3558
8Crema361391443:4048
9Bustese Milano City3612111344:4347
10Caravaggio3612111347:5247
11Ciliverghe Mazzano361291547:4645
12Levico Terme3611111445:5644
13Trento361271742:6443
14Scanzorosciate361271741:5143
15Lumezzane361191637:5142
16Ciserano368121642:5836
17Grumellese36972034:5534
18USD Dro366131733:6231
19Calcio Romanese36252930:7811