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Pontivy vs Granville Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

National 1 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Laraba A.
73' Event
Camara I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Pontivy
35%
Draws
55%
Granville
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Granville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pontivy lately — more wins on the board than Granville.
  • Model gives Granville a 55% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 13%
Granville Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontivy Granville
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.87 1.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Pontivy vs Granville
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontivy Compare

Top Goalscorer Laraba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.43

Granville Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontivy 22 / 100
Granville 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontivy Granville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Granville Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Granville conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Pontivy scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pontivy stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontivy VS Granville
0.86 Goals Scored 1.13
2.14 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontivy

(Home)
03 Oct
Pontivy
0 : 1
Angouleme CFC
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
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Granville

(Away)
03 Oct
Granville
2 : 1
St. Colomban Locmine
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0
Saint-Malo
11 Sept
Stade Briochin
2 : 2
Granville
05 Sept
Granville
2 : 1
Le Poire Sur Vie
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
2 Bayonne 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
3 Granville 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
4 Avranches 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
5 Dinan 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
7 Tarbes 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
8 Lorient II 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Stade Briochin 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
11 Les Herbiers 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
12 St. Colomban Locmine 6 1 2 3 3:5 5
13 Saumur Olympique 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
14 Pontivy 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 6 0 3 3 3:10 3
16 Chauray 6 0 1 5 3:11 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)