Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pontypridd United W vs Swansea W

Wales Wales

Premier Women
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Lloyd M.
21' Event
Miller M.
39' Event
John-Davis S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Swansea W in this Premier Women matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swansea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pontypridd United W
6%
Draws
90%
Swansea W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Swansea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pontypridd United W haven't matched Swansea W's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Swansea W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Swansea W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Pontypridd United W Clean Sheet 10%
Swansea W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pontypridd United W Swansea W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 19
Draws 3 2
Losses 26 10
Goals Scored 0.25 3.38
Goals Conceded 4.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Swansea W
1:5
Oct 19, 2025 Premier Women
Swansea W vs Pontypridd United W
10:1
Jan 21, 2024 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Swansea W
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 Premier Women
Swansea W vs Pontypridd United W
3:1
Jan 18, 2023 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Swansea W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pontypridd United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloyd M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Swansea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Trivett T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pontypridd United W 10 / 100
Swansea W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pontypridd United W Swansea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Pontypridd United W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Swansea W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Difficult form: Swansea W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pontypridd United W VS Swansea W
0.25 Goals Scored 3.38
4.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pontypridd United W

(Home)
05 Apr
Pontypridd United W
1 : 5
Briton Ferry W
29 Mar
Aberystwyth W
4 : 1
Pontypridd United W
22 Mar
Barry Town W
3 : 0
Pontypridd United W
15 Mar
Pontypridd United W
0 : 1
Barry Town W
08 Mar
Briton Ferry W
3 : 0
Pontypridd United W
Page 1 of 6

Swansea W

(Away)
05 Apr
Wrexham W
1 : 2
Swansea W
29 Mar
Swansea W
0 : 1
TNS W
25 Mar
Swansea W
1 : 7
Wrexham W
22 Mar
Cardiff City W
2 : 1
Swansea W
15 Mar
Swansea W
1 : 2
Cardiff City W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff City W14112153:1335
2Wrexham W14111250:2034
3Swansea W14100448:2030
4TNS W1472534:2223
5Briton Ferry W1451829:3716
6Aberystwyth W1441917:3413
7Barry Town W1441922:4713
8Pontypridd United W14001411:710
Promotion - Premier Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier Women (Relegation Group)