Sport Picks
Match Events
57'
57'
Touray E.
79'
79'
Hill I.
90'
90'
Parker J.
AI Match Summary
Poole Town in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poole Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poole Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Yate haven't matched Poole Town's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Poole Town taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 20%
Yate Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Poole Town | Yate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Yate
2:1
Mar 24, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Poole Town
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Yate
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 FA Trophy
Yate vs Poole Town
1:2
Feb 11, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Poole Town
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Poole Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Touray E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hill I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Yate Compare
Top Goalscorer Parker J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Poole Town 42 / 100
Yate 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Poole Town Yate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Poole Town's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Yate has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Poole Town remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Poole Town VS Yate
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Poole Town
(Home) 26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1 Poole Town
05 Sept
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 1 Poole Town
31 Aug
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0 Poole Town
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0 Basingstoke
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
11 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 1 Sholing
14 Jul
Poole Town
2 : 0 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 3
Yate
(Away) 26 Sept
Yate
0 : 1 Sholing
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1 Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0 Chippenham Town
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3 Yate
05 Sept
Yate
3 : 0 Devizes Town
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22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1 Yate
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3 Yate
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1 Yate
15 Aug
Chertsey Town
1 : 1 Yate
11 Aug
Chippenham Town
1 : 1 Yate
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 19 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Chertsey Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 14 |
| 5 | Bath City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Frome Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted Town | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Taunton Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21:20 | 12 |
| 10 | Poole Town | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 12 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 12 | Yate | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Evesham | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 14 | Bracknell Town | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 16 | Basingstoke | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 17 | Sholing | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | 7 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | 7 |
| 19 | Hanwell Town | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 20 | Gloucester City | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | 6 |
| 21 | Malvern Town | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12:23 | 5 |
| 22 | Havant & Waterlooville | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | 4 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
