Sport Picks
Poole Town vs Yate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
57'
57'
Touray E.
79'
79'
Hill I.
90'
90'
Parker J.
AI Match Summary
Poole Town in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poole Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Yate haven't matched Poole Town's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 20%
Yate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Poole Town | Yate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Yate
2:1
Mar 24, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Poole Town
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Poole Town vs Yate
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 FA Trophy
Yate vs Poole Town
1:2
Feb 11, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Poole Town
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Poole Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Touray E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hill I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Yate Compare
Top Goalscorer Parker J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Poole Town 31 / 100
Yate 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Poole Town Yate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Poole Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Poole Town scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Yate has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Solid form: Poole Town remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Poole Town VS Yate
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Poole Town
(Home) 07 Nov
Poole Town
1 : 1 Uxbridge
03 Nov
Poole Town
3 : 0 Hanwell Town
31 Oct
Bath City
1 : 0 Poole Town
27 Oct
Poole Town
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
24 Oct
Didcot
2 : 1 Poole Town
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Poole Town
1 : 1 Uxbridge
03 Nov
Poole Town
3 : 0 Hanwell Town
27 Oct
Poole Town
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
10 Oct
Poole Town
1 : 0 Bracknell Town
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
Page 1 of 3
Yate
(Away) 10 Nov
Evesham
0 : 3 Yate
07 Nov
Yate
1 : 1 Gloucester City
31 Oct
Uxbridge
2 : 0 Yate
27 Oct
Yate
0 : 0 Wimborne
20 Oct
Yate
1 : 1 Sholing
Page 1 of 6
10 Nov
Evesham
0 : 3 Yate
31 Oct
Uxbridge
2 : 0 Yate
13 Oct
Malvern Town
3 : 2 Yate
29 Sept
Wimborne
4 : 0 Yate
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1 Yate
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uxbridge | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 33:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Poole Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28:17 | 32 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32:19 | 31 |
| 4 | Plymouth Parkway | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Chertsey Town | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35:25 | 29 |
| 6 | Bath City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 21:15 | 29 |
| 7 | Chichester City | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 30:28 | 28 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 25:22 | 24 |
| 9 | Wimborne | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:9 | 22 |
| 10 | Taunton Town | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 35:26 | 22 |
| 11 | Frome Town | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Berkhamsted Town | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Yate | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:28 | 18 |
| 14 | Sholing | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Hanwell Town | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22:26 | 17 |
| 16 | Basingstoke | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 25:32 | 16 |
| 17 | Chippenham Town | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18:30 | 16 |
| 18 | Evesham | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 21:37 | 16 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 21:24 | 15 |
| 20 | Bracknell Town | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 19:37 | 15 |
| 21 | Malvern Town | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 24:41 | 14 |
| 22 | Havant & Waterlooville | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 20:33 | 12 |
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