Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025

Porreres

1 - 0

Migjorn

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Canellas G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Porreres and Migjorn finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porreres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Porreres

17%

Draws

13%

Migjorn

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Porreres

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Porreres carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Porreres's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

Porreres Clean Sheet 20%

Migjorn Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Porreres	Migjorn
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	8	4
Draws	8	3
Losses	17	23
Goals Scored	0.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Migjorn vs Porreres

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 0 - 0

1:3

Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Porreres vs Migjorn

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porreres Compare

Top Goalscorer Canellas G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

Migjorn Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porreres 67 / 100

Migjorn 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Porreres Migjorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Migjorn let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: Migjorn has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Porreres scored in 48% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Porreres VS -

0.25 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

13% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Poblense	34	22	6	6	47:17	72
2	Constancia	34	18	13	3	55:31	67
3	Formentera	34	19	9	6	68:34	66
4	Porreres	34	17	11	6	51:32	62
5	Penya Independent	34	17	7	10	59:34	58
6	Platges de Calvia	34	14	12	8	51:37	54
7	Manacor	34	13	12	9	54:36	51
8	Alcudia	34	13	8	13	51:53	47
9	Binissalem	34	13	8	13	35:34	47
10	Llosetense	34	12	8	14	47:45	44
11	Santanyi	34	10	13	11	40:45	43
12	Mercadal	34	10	10	14	40:43	40
13	Felanitx	34	10	10	14	33:50	40
14	Collerense	34	9	12	13	42:48	39
15	Portmany	34	8	13	13	43:51	37
16	PE Sant Jordi	34	8	6	20	30:52	30
17	Campos	34	4	8	22	31:75	20
18	Migjorn	34	4	4	26	22:82	16