Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025

Porreres

3 - 1

PE Sant Jordi

Our Tip

Match Events

Alomar L.

43'

Luzzi A.

52'

Alvarez Crego A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Porreres and PE Sant Jordi finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Porreres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Porreres

40%

Draws

29%

PE Sant Jordi

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

PE Sant Jordi carry the better recent record into this one.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Porreres Clean Sheet 20%

PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Porreres	PE Sant Jordi
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	7	8
Draws	9	6
Losses	18	16
Goals Scored	0.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Porreres vs PE Sant Jordi

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 2 - 4

3:1

Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

PE Sant Jordi vs Porreres

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porreres Compare

Top Goalscorer Alomar L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Alvarez Crego A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

PE Sant Jordi Compare

Top Goalscorer Luzzi A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porreres 32 / 100

PE Sant Jordi 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Porreres PE Sant Jordi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PE Sant Jordi conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

PE Sant Jordi's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Porreres scored in 47% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Porreres VS -

0.25 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

13% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Poblense	34	22	6	6	47:17	72
2	Constancia	34	18	13	3	55:31	67
3	Formentera	34	19	9	6	68:34	66
4	Porreres	34	17	11	6	51:32	62
5	Penya Independent	34	17	7	10	59:34	58
6	Platges de Calvia	34	14	12	8	51:37	54
7	Manacor	34	13	12	9	54:36	51
8	Alcudia	34	13	8	13	51:53	47
9	Binissalem	34	13	8	13	35:34	47
10	Llosetense	34	12	8	14	47:45	44
11	Santanyi	34	10	13	11	40:45	43
12	Mercadal	34	10	10	14	40:43	40
13	Felanitx	34	10	10	14	33:50	40
14	Collerense	34	9	12	13	42:48	39
15	Portmany	34	8	13	13	43:51	37
16	PE Sant Jordi	34	8	6	20	30:52	30
17	Campos	34	4	8	22	31:75	20
18	Migjorn	34	4	4	26	22:82	16