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Porreres vs SD Ibiza

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Porreres play SD Ibiza in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Porreres averaged 0.62 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. SD Ibiza averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Porreres won 0, SD Ibiza won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 1, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Porreres and 1.25 for SD Ibiza. This points to a SD Ibiza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Porreres
26%
Draws
45%
SD Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: SD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Porreres picked up more points recently compared to SD Ibiza.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Porreres Clean Sheet 19%
SD Ibiza Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porreres SD Ibiza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.62 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Porreres vs SD Ibiza
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
SD Ibiza vs Porreres
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porreres Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuenca R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

SD Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernal J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porreres 30 / 100
SD Ibiza 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porreres SD Ibiza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SD Ibiza or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Porreres attacking → ← attacking SD Ibiza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porreres scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

SD Ibiza let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Porreres went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

SD Ibiza lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 35
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sant Andreu34206851:3366
2Baleares34199653:3466
3UD Poblense341611741:2859
4Reus FC Reddis341671150:3855
5Alcoyano341316530:2055
6Barcelona B3414101062:4052
7Girona B3412111145:3747
8Terrassa3411131036:4446
9Valencia B3410141053:5044
10Espanyol B3410141034:3544
11UD Barbastro3410131132:3143
12Olot3410121231:3242
13Castellon B341191459:7242
14SD Ibiza3410101435:4440
15Andratx34891735:5633
16CE Atletic Lleida346121637:5130
17Torrent34791836:5330
18Porreres34691922:4427