Sport Picks
Port Melbourne Sharks vs North Geelong Warriors
Australia
Victoria Premier League 
Match Events
16'
16'
Eshun K.
90'
90'
Chapman A.
AI Match Summary
The Victoria Premier League game between Port Melbourne Sharks and North Geelong Warriors finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Geelong Warriors.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: North Geelong Warriors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Port Melbourne Sharks haven't matched North Geelong Warriors's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on North Geelong Warriors taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Port Melbourne Sharks Clean Sheet 10%
North Geelong Warriors Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Port Melbourne Sharks | North Geelong Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 20 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Port Melbourne Sharks
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Port Melbourne Sharks vs North Geelong Warriors
0:2
May 27, 2023 NPL Victoria
Port Melbourne Sharks vs North Geelong Warriors
4:0
Feb 25, 2023 NPL Victoria
North Geelong Warriors vs Port Melbourne Sharks
0:2
Jun 17, 2017 NPL Victoria
Port Melbourne Sharks vs North Geelong Warriors
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Port Melbourne Sharks Compare
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
North Geelong Warriors Compare
Top Goalscorer Eshun K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chapman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Port Melbourne Sharks 26 / 100
North Geelong Warriors 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Port Melbourne Sharks North Geelong Warriors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: North Geelong Warriors conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
North Geelong Warriors lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Port Melbourne Sharks found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).
Scoring Trends
Port Melbourne Sharks VS North Geelong Warriors
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Port Melbourne Sharks
(Home) 25 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 3 Northcote City
18 Jul
Melbourne Srbija
0 : 1 Port Melbourne Sharks
11 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 5 North Sunshine Eagles
04 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
1 : 1 Port Melbourne Sharks
19 Jun
Langwarrin
5 : 0 Port Melbourne Sharks
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 3 Northcote City
11 Jul
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 5 North Sunshine Eagles
06 Jun
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 3 Brunswick City
23 May
Port Melbourne Sharks
0 : 2 Brunswick Juventus
16 May
Port Melbourne Sharks
1 : 3 Melbourne Victory U21
Page 1 of 3
North Geelong Warriors
(Away) 25 Jul
Brunswick Juventus
3 : 0 North Geelong Warriors
18 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
0 : 2 Melbourne Victory U21
11 Jul
Eltham Redbacks
3 : 1 North Geelong Warriors
04 Jul
North Geelong Warriors
1 : 1 Port Melbourne Sharks
20 Jun
Manningham United Blues
2 : 3 North Geelong Warriors
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Brunswick Juventus
3 : 0 North Geelong Warriors
11 Jul
Eltham Redbacks
3 : 1 North Geelong Warriors
20 Jun
Manningham United Blues
2 : 3 North Geelong Warriors
24 May
Melbourne Knights
2 : 1 North Geelong Warriors
10 May
Western United U21
3 : 2 North Geelong Warriors
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melbourne Knights | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 42:17 | 47 |
| 2 | Brunswick Juventus | 22 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 44:30 | 45 |
| 3 | Northcote City | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 40:24 | 43 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory U21 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 51:35 | 37 |
| 5 | Bulleen | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 40:30 | 36 |
| 6 | Eltham Redbacks | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 49:38 | 32 |
| 7 | Melbourne Srbija | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 26:23 | 32 |
| 8 | Manningham United Blues | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 38:46 | 30 |
| 9 | North Geelong Warriors | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 33:42 | 28 |
| 10 | Brunswick City | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 41:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Western United U21 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 44:59 | 25 |
| 12 | Langwarrin | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 37:49 | 23 |
| 13 | North Sunshine Eagles | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 29:38 | 19 |
| 14 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12:51 | 13 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Promotion - Play Offs)
