Sport Picks

England

FA Cup Vale Park, Stoke on Trent

Port Vale

1 - 0

Sunderland

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Waine B.

Assist: Brown D.

30'

Brown D.

46'

Sub

Humphreys C. In: Magloire T.

Out: Humphreys C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Port Vale

15%

Draws

36%

Sunderland

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port Vale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Port Vale come out ahead of Sunderland on wins alone.
70% — that's where the model lands on Port Vale taking it.
Port Vale have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Sunderland, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Sunderland have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Port Vale Clean Sheet 68%

Sunderland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Port Vale	Sunderland
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	12	11
Draws	6	6
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.63	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 FA Cup

Port Vale vs Sunderland

1:0

Aug 10, 2021 EFL Cup

Port Vale vs Sunderland

1:2

Jan 12, 2021 EFL Trophy

Sunderland vs Port Vale

2:0

Nov 11, 2018 FA Cup

Port Vale vs Sunderland

1:2

Dec 12, 1998 Championship

Sunderland vs Port Vale

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port Vale Compare

Top Goalscorer Waine B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Sunderland Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Vale 77 / 100

Sunderland 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Port Vale Sunderland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Vale found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Sunderland has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Port Vale has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Port Vale VS Sunderland

1.63 Goals Scored 1.63

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Vale

(Home)

01 Aug

Blackpool

0 : 1

Port Vale

25 Jul

Port Vale

1 : 0

Murcia

18 Jul

Wigan

1 : 3

Port Vale

14 Jul

Port Vale

5 : 0

Tamworth

02 May

Port Vale

0 : 2

Lincoln City

Page 1 of 6

Sunderland

(Away)

02 Aug

Wrexham

0 : 1

Sunderland

30 Jul

Sunderland

0 : 1

Leeds

25 Jul

Liverpool

4 : 2

Sunderland

18 Jul

York City

1 : 5

Sunderland

24 May

Sunderland

2 : 1

Chelsea

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Wrexham -

TBD -

Nottingham -

Ipswich -

TBD -

Blackpool 1

Scunthorpe 0

Reading 2

Carlisle 3

Hull City -

TBD -

Blackburn -

Charlton -

TBD -

Chelsea -

Port Vale 5

Maldon & Tiptree 1

Bromley 1

Bristol Rovers 2

Fleetwood Town 2

Barnet 1

Luton 4

Forest Green 3

Bristol City -

TBD -

Watford -

Colchester 2

Milton Keynes Dons 3

Oldham 3

Northampton 1

TBD -

Oxford Utd -

Everton -

TBD -

Sunderland -

Boreham Wood 3

Crawley Town 0

Newport 3

Gillingham 2

Brackley 3

Notts County 2

Burton 6

St. Albans 0

West Ham -

TBD -

QPR -

Slough Town 2

Altrincham 1

Macclesfield 6

AFC Totton 3

TBD -

Crystal Palace -

Sheffield Wed -

TBD -

Brentford -

Tranmere 1

Stockport County 3

Cambridge Utd 3

Chester 0

TBD -

Birmingham -

Derby -

TBD -

Leeds -

Norwich -

TBD -

AFC Wimbledon 0

Gateshead 2

Eastleigh 0

Walsall 3

Swansea -

TBD -

West Brom -

Tottenham -

TBD -

Aston Villa -

Newcastle Utd -

TBD -

Bournemouth -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Halifax 0

Exeter 2

Wycombe 2

Plymouth 0

Salford 2

Lincoln City 1

Tamworth 0

Leyton Orient 1

Rotherham 1

Swindon 2

Bolton 2

Huddersfield 1

Grimsby 3

Ebbsfleet 1

Wealdstone 1

Southend 0

Chelmsford 4

Braintree 1

Weston-super-Mare 2

Aldershot 1

Wolves -

TBD -

Sutton 2

Telford 1

South Shields 1

Shrewsbury 3

Liverpool -

TBD -

Peterborough 1

Cardiff 0

Barnsley 3

York City 2

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Stoke City -

TBD -

Coventry -

Fulham -

TBD -

Middlesbrough -

Stevenage 0

Chesterfield 1

Crewe 1

Doncaster 2

TBD -

Southampton -

Cheltenham 1

Bradford City 0

Buxton 2

Chatham 1

TBD -

Leicester -

Burnley -

TBD -

Millwall -

Sheffield Utd -

TBD -

Gainsborough 1

Accrington 2

Mansfield 3

Harrogate 2

Portsmouth -

TBD -

Arsenal -

Preston -

TBD -

Wigan 2

Hemel Hempstead 1

Spennymoor 0

Barrow 2

1/64-finals

Wrexham -

TBD -

Nottingham -

Ipswich -

TBD -

Blackpool 4

Carlisle 1

Hull City -

TBD -

Blackburn -

Charlton -

TBD -

Chelsea -

Port Vale 1

Bristol Rovers 0

Fleetwood Town 3

Luton 2

Bristol City -

TBD -

Watford -

Milton Keynes Dons 3

Oldham 1

TBD -

Oxford Utd -

Everton -

TBD -

Sunderland -

Boreham Wood 3

Newport 0

Brackley 1

Burton 3

West Ham -

TBD -

QPR -

Slough Town 1

Macclesfield 3

TBD -

Crystal Palace -

Sheffield Wed -

TBD -

Brentford -

Stockport County 0

Cambridge Utd 1

TBD -

Birmingham -

Derby -

TBD -

Leeds -

Norwich -

TBD -

Gateshead 0

Walsall 2

Swansea -

TBD -

West Brom -

Tottenham -

TBD -

Aston Villa -

Newcastle Utd -

TBD -

Bournemouth -

Manchester City -

TBD -

Exeter 4

Wycombe 0

Salford 4

Leyton Orient 0

Swindon 4

Bolton 0

Grimsby 4

Wealdstone 0

Chelmsford 0

Weston-super-Mare 2

Wolves -

TBD -

Sutton 1

Shrewsbury 2

Liverpool -

TBD -

Peterborough 0

Barnsley 1

Manchester United -

TBD -

Brighton -

Stoke City -

TBD -

Coventry -

Fulham -

TBD -

Middlesbrough -

Chesterfield 1

Doncaster 2

TBD -

Southampton -

Cheltenham 6

Buxton 2

TBD -

Leicester -

Burnley -

TBD -

Millwall -

Sheffield Utd -

TBD -

Accrington 2

Mansfield 3

Portsmouth -

TBD -

Arsenal -

Preston -

TBD -

Wigan 3

Barrow 2

1/32-finals

Wrexham 4

Nottingham 3

Ipswich 2

Blackpool 1

Hull City 1

Blackburn 0

Charlton 1

Chelsea 5

Port Vale 1

Fleetwood Town 0

Bristol City 5

Watford 1

Milton Keynes Dons 1

Oxford Utd 2

Everton 1

Sunderland 2

Boreham Wood 0

Burton 5

West Ham 2

QPR 1

Macclesfield 2

Crystal Palace 1

Sheffield Wed 0

Brentford 2

Cambridge Utd 2

Birmingham 3

Derby 1

Leeds 3

Norwich 5

Walsall 1

Swansea 2

West Brom 3

Tottenham 1

Aston Villa 2

Newcastle Utd 4

Bournemouth 3

Manchester City 10

Exeter 1

Salford 3

Swindon 2

Grimsby 3

Weston-super-Mare 2

Wolves 6

Shrewsbury 1

Liverpool 4

Barnsley 1

Manchester United 1

Brighton 2

Stoke City 1

Coventry 0

Fulham 3

Middlesbrough 1

Doncaster 2

Southampton 3

Cheltenham 0

Leicester 2

Burnley 5

Millwall 1

Sheffield Utd 3

Mansfield 4

Portsmouth 1

Arsenal 4

Preston 0

Wigan 1

1/16-finals

Wrexham 1

Ipswich 0

Hull City 0

Chelsea 4

Port Vale 1

Bristol City 0

Oxford Utd 0

Sunderland 1

Burton 0

West Ham 1

Macclesfield 0

Brentford 1

Birmingham 1

Leeds 2

Norwich 3

West Brom 1

Aston Villa 1

Newcastle Utd 3

Manchester City 2

Salford 0

Grimsby 0

Wolves 1

Liverpool 3

Brighton 0

Stoke City 1

Fulham 2

Southampton 2

Leicester 1

Burnley 1

Mansfield 2

Arsenal 4

Wigan 0

1/8-finals

Wrexham 2

Chelsea 4

Port Vale 1

Sunderland 0

West Ham 3

Brentford 2

Leeds 3

Norwich 0

Newcastle Utd 1

Manchester City 3

Wolves 1

Liverpool 3

Fulham 0

Southampton 1

Mansfield 1

Arsenal 2

Quarter-finals

Chelsea 7

Port Vale 0

West Ham 2

Leeds 3

Manchester City 4

Liverpool 0

Southampton 2

Arsenal 1

Semi-finals

Chelsea 1

Leeds 0

Manchester City 2

Southampton 1

Final

Chelsea 0

Manchester City 1

Port Vale vs Sunderland

England

Port Vale

Sunderland

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Port Vale Compare

Sunderland Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Port Vale

Sunderland

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA