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Porthmadog vs Holywell Town FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Andrews D.
69' Event
Breese J.
(Penalty)
90' Event
ap Gareth I.

AI Match Summary

Holywell Town FC in this Cymru North 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Holywell Town FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Porthmadog
40%
Draws
29%
Holywell Town FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Porthmadog haven't matched Holywell Town FC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Holywell Town FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porthmadog Holywell Town FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2024 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Holywell Town FC
0:3
Jul 29, 2023 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Porthmadog
1:0
Jan 2, 2023 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Porthmadog
4:0
Oct 22, 2022 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Holywell Town FC
2:3
Mar 30, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Holywell Town FC vs Porthmadog
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porthmadog Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrews D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader ap Gareth I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porthmadog 30 / 100
Holywell Town FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porthmadog Holywell Town FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Porthmadog scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Holywell Town FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Porthmadog remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Porthmadog VS Holywell Town FC
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Holywell Town FC30263179:1781
2Flint Town30253294:3078
3Airbus UK Broughton FC30235284:2874
4Mold Alexandra301811166:5055
5Bangor 1876301721162:5553
6Denbigh301541171:6049
7Ruthin Town301261258:5242
8Guilsfield301171248:4640
9Caersws FC301091160:5339
10Gresford301071347:5437
11Buckley301061454:6036
12Llandudno FC301011959:8031
13Prestatyn30751839:7423
14Porthmadog30642035:6622
15Chirk AAA FC30342332:8213
16Llanidloes Town30232525:1069