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Portimonense B vs Lagoa

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Portimonense B Logo

Portimonense B

1 - 3
FT
Lagoa Logo

Lagoa

Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Cabral D.
87' Event
Pio G.
90' Event
Teixeira J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lagoa in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lagoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Portimonense B
30%
Draws
58%
Lagoa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lagoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Portimonense B haven't matched Lagoa's recent run of results.
  • Lagoa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Portimonense B Clean Sheet 13%
Lagoa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense B Lagoa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Portimonense B vs Lagoa
1:3
Dec 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lagoa vs Portimonense B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portimonense B Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabral D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Lagoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pio G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense B 11 / 100
Lagoa 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense B Lagoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagoa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Lagoa let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Portimonense B's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Portimonense B remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense B VS Lagoa
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portimonense B

(Home)
18 Apr
Sintrense
2 : 1
Portimonense B
12 Apr
Portimonense B
1 : 3
Lagoa
04 Apr
Portimonense B
0 : 3
Malveira
29 Mar
Alverca B
4 : 0
Portimonense B
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 0
Portimonense B
Page 1 of 6

Lagoa

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico CP
4 : 1
Lagoa
13 Sept
Lagoa
0 : 0
Serpa
06 Sept
Santa Clara B
1 : 2
Lagoa
23 Aug
Imortal
1 : 0
Lagoa
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1
Lagoa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)