Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Goncalves Matheus
79' Event
Sarim A.
90' Event
Moura J.

AI Match Summary

SC Farense U23 in this Liga Revelacao U23 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Farense U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Portimonense U23
17%
Draws
70%
SC Farense U23
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: SC Farense U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • SC Farense U23 have won more games recently than Portimonense U23.
  • Model gives SC Farense U23 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Revelacao U23 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Portimonense U23 Clean Sheet 14%
SC Farense U23 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense U23 SC Farense U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23
1:2
Feb 19, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23
2:1
Dec 22, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23
0:1
Oct 8, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Portimonense U23
1:2
Apr 8, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portimonense U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moura J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

SC Farense U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves Matheus
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarim A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense U23 15 / 100
SC Farense U23 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense U23 SC Farense U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portimonense U23 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: SC Farense U23 conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Portimonense U23 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense U23 VS SC Farense U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portimonense U23

(Home)
28 Apr
Portimonense U23
1 : 2
SC Farense U23
21 Apr
Rio Ave U23
1 : 0
Portimonense U23
14 Apr
Portimonense U23
1 : 2
Vizela U23
08 Apr
Leiria U23
4 : 2
Portimonense U23
23 Mar
Portimonense U23
1 : 1
Estoril U23
Page 1 of 6

SC Farense U23

(Away)
28 Apr
Portimonense U23
1 : 2
SC Farense U23
21 Apr
SC Farense U23
1 : 1
Estoril U23
14 Apr
Maritimo U23
1 : 2
SC Farense U23
08 Apr
SC Farense U23
1 : 0
Estrela da Amadora U23
03 Apr
Gil Vicente U23
3 : 2
SC Farense U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gil Vicente U2316121335:2137
2Rio Ave U2316110525:1633
3SC Farense U231683522:1727
4Estoril U231674521:1825
5Estrela da Amadora U231654718:1619
6Leiria U231653824:2618
7Vizela U231653820:3118
8Maritimo U231652917:2517
9Portimonense U2316321121:3311
Promotion - Taca Revelacao U23 2026/2027 (Main)