Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Richmond Kickers

USA USA

USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Green K.
19' Event
Gonzalez D.
25' Event
Kirkland J.

AI Match Summary

Portland Hearts of Pine in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Hearts of Pine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Portland Hearts of Pine
22%
Draws
18%
Richmond Kickers
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Portland Hearts of Pine have won more games recently than Richmond Kickers.
  • Win probability leans Portland Hearts of Pine's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Portland Hearts of Pine have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 14%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Hearts of Pine Richmond Kickers
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 2.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Richmond Kickers
5:1
Sep 17, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:5
Aug 9, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Richmond Kickers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Hearts of Pine Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Richmond Kickers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kirkland J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Hearts of Pine 57 / 100
Richmond Kickers 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Hearts of Pine Richmond Kickers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Richmond Kickers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Portland Hearts of Pine scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Portland Hearts of Pine remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portland Hearts of Pine VS Richmond Kickers
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Knoxville15103228:1333
2Union Omaha16101525:1831
3Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
4Athletic Club Boise1783625:2427
5Forward Madison1482426:1426
6AV Alta FC1767423:1925
7Fort Wayne1566321:1424
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1371523:1522
10Portland Hearts of Pine1655625:2620
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1533912:2812
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310