Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W

World World

Club Friendly Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly Women game between Portland Thorns FC W and San Diego Wave W finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Diego Wave W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Portland Thorns FC W
39%
Draws
31%
San Diego Wave W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Portland Thorns FC W and San Diego Wave W close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 14%
San Diego Wave W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Thorns FC W San Diego Wave W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W
3:4
Apr 30, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W
2:0
Mar 26, 2026 NWSL Women
San Diego Wave W vs Portland Thorns FC W
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs San Diego Wave W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Thorns FC W 30 / 100
San Diego Wave W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Thorns FC W San Diego Wave W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portland Thorns FC W scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

San Diego Wave W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Portland Thorns FC W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portland Thorns FC W VS San Diego Wave W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Thorns FC W

(Home)
25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2
Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1
Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Portland Thorns FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0
Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4
San Diego Wave W
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San Diego Wave W

(Away)
26 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2
Seattle Reign W
18 Jul
Kansas City Current W
2 : 2
San Diego Wave W
12 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2
Angel City W
05 Jul
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0
Gotham FC W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4
San Diego Wave W
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