Sport Picks

USA

US Open Cup 2024

Portland Timbers 2

1 - 2

El Farolito

Our Tip

Match Events

30'

Ferdinand K.

52'

Yabur S.

Assist: Higuera J.

53'

Neville H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

El Farolito in this US Open Cup 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Farolito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Portland Timbers 2

17%

Draws

13%

El Farolito

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Portland Timbers 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Portland Timbers 2 have won more games recently than El Farolito.
Model gives Portland Timbers 2 a 70% chance of winning this.
Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 17%

El Farolito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portland Timbers 2	El Farolito
Matches Played	30	12
Wins	16	6
Draws	0	0
Losses	14	6
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	1.75	2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2024 US Open Cup

Portland Timbers 2 vs El Farolito

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Timbers 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferdinand K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

El Farolito Compare

Top Goalscorer Yabur S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Benson Bodden D. O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 2 66 / 100

El Farolito 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portland Timbers 2 El Farolito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portland Timbers 2 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: El Farolito conceded in 92% of 12 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Portland Timbers 2 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers 2 VS El Farolito

1.5 Goals Scored 0

1.75 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Western Pioneers0

Union Omaha4

Capo2

Menace3

TBD-

El Paso Locomotive-

TBD-

Sporting Kansas City-

Pittsburgh Riverhounds-

TBD-

FC Tulsa-

TBD-

Colorado Rapids 23

Azteca0

Tulsa Athletic1

Northern Colorado4

Tampa Bay-

TBD-

Birmingham Legion-

TBD-

Apotheos1

Georgia Lions0

Chattanooga Red Wolves4

Brockton United2

FC Dallas-

TBD-

Memphis 901-

TBD-

Chattanooga0

Miami United1

Frenzi2

Club de Lyon3

Charleston-

TBD-

Miami FC-

TBD-

South Georgia Tormenta1

America CFL Spurs0

Brave SC0

Savannah Clovers2

Atlanta United-

TBD-

Vereinigung Erzgebirge0

Charlotte Independence2

Crown Legacy0

South Carolina United Heat1

TBD-

Chicago Fire II6

Chicago City0

Forward Madison2

Duluth FC0

TBD-

Indy Eleven-

TBD-

San Antonio FC-

Houston Dynamo-

TBD-

Detroit City-

TBD-

Chicago House0

Minnesota United 23

Steel City0

Michigan Stars1

Sacramento Republic-

TBD-

Monterey Bay-

TBD-

Ventura County2

Irvine Zeta 21

Irvine Zeta1

MesoAmerica0

San Jose Earthquakes-

TBD-

Oakland Roots-

TBD-

Portland Timbers 21

El Farolito2

Folsom1

Central Valley Fuego2

Seattle Sounders-

TBD-

Louisville City-

TBD-

Asheville City0

One Knoxville2

South Carolina United Bantams0

Greenville Triumph1

TBD-

Vermont Green4

Lexington3

Carolina Core3

Northern Virginia2

TBD-

Phoenix Rising-

Las Vegas Lights-

TBD-

Ballard0

Spokane Velocity1

LA Force2

Redlands United FC1

TBD-

Los Angeles FC-

Orange County SC-

TBD-

Richmond Kickers1

Christos0

West Chester United0

Maryland Bobcats2

TBD-

Loudoun United-

Hartford Athletic-

TBD-

Motown0

New York City II3

New York Red Bulls II5

Hudson Valley1

TBD-

Colorado Springs-

New Mexico-

TBD-

Lubbock Matadors2

Arizona Monsoon1

Austin FC II2

Foro3

TBD-

Real Salt Lake-

1/64-finals

Union Omaha3

Menace1

TBD-

El Paso Locomotive-

TBD-

Sporting Kansas City-

Pittsburgh Riverhounds-

TBD-

FC Tulsa-

TBD-

Colorado Rapids 22

Northern Colorado3

Tampa Bay-

TBD-

Birmingham Legion-

TBD-

Apotheos0

Chattanooga Red Wolves1

FC Dallas-

TBD-

Memphis 901-

TBD-

Miami United2

Club de Lyon0

Charleston-

TBD-

Miami FC-

TBD-

South Georgia Tormenta4

Savannah Clovers0

Atlanta United-

TBD-

Charlotte Independence1

South Carolina United Heat0

TBD-

Chicago Fire II2

Forward Madison0

TBD-

Indy Eleven-

TBD-

San Antonio FC-

Houston Dynamo-

TBD-

Detroit City-

TBD-

Minnesota United 20

Michigan Stars2

Sacramento Republic-

TBD-

Monterey Bay-

TBD-

Ventura County0

Irvine Zeta3

San Jose Earthquakes-

TBD-

Oakland Roots-

TBD-

El Farolito2

Central Valley Fuego1

Seattle Sounders-

TBD-

Louisville City-

TBD-

One Knoxville2

Greenville Triumph3

TBD-

Vermont Green1

Carolina Core2

TBD-

Phoenix Rising-

Las Vegas Lights-

TBD-

Spokane Velocity1

LA Force0

TBD-

Los Angeles FC-

Orange County SC-

TBD-

Richmond Kickers5

Maryland Bobcats2

TBD-

Loudoun United-

Hartford Athletic-

TBD-

New York City II4

New York Red Bulls II2

TBD-

Colorado Springs-

New Mexico-

TBD-

Lubbock Matadors2

Foro0

TBD-

Real Salt Lake-

1/32-finals

Union Omaha1

El Paso Locomotive0

TBD-

Sporting Kansas City-

Pittsburgh Riverhounds-

TBD-

FC Tulsa2

Northern Colorado1

Tampa Bay-

TBD-

Birmingham Legion4

Chattanooga Red Wolves2

FC Dallas-

TBD-

Memphis 9012

Miami United0

Charleston-

TBD-

Miami FC2

South Georgia Tormenta4

Atlanta United-

TBD-

Charlotte Independence5

Rhode Island4

Chicago Fire II0

Indy Eleven1

TBD-

San Antonio FC-

Houston Dynamo-

TBD-

Detroit City1

Michigan Stars0

Sacramento Republic-

TBD-

Monterey Bay2

Irvine Zeta1

San Jose Earthquakes-

TBD-

Oakland Roots2

El Farolito1

Seattle Sounders-

TBD-

Louisville City3

Greenville Triumph1

North Carolina FC1

Carolina Core0

TBD-

Phoenix Rising-

Las Vegas Lights2

Spokane Velocity1

TBD-

Los Angeles FC-

Orange County SC-

TBD-

Richmond Kickers0

Loudoun United1

Hartford Athletic2

New York City II3

TBD-

Colorado Springs-

New Mexico3

Lubbock Matadors1

TBD-

Real Salt Lake-

1/16-finals

Union Omaha1

Sporting Kansas City2

Pittsburgh Riverhounds0

FC Tulsa1

Tampa Bay6

Birmingham Legion4

FC Dallas1

Memphis 9010

Charleston3

South Georgia Tormenta2

Atlanta United3

Charlotte Independence0

Indy Eleven2

San Antonio FC0

Houston Dynamo3

Detroit City4

Sacramento Republic2

Monterey Bay0

San Jose Earthquakes1

Oakland Roots0

Seattle Sounders3

Louisville City2

North Carolina FC1

Phoenix Rising2

Las Vegas Lights1

Los Angeles FC3

Orange County SC1

Loudoun United2

New York City II1

Colorado Springs0

New Mexico4

Real Salt Lake2

1/8-finals

Sporting Kansas City4

FC Tulsa0

Tampa Bay1

FC Dallas2

Charleston0

Atlanta United1

Indy Eleven3

Detroit City0

Sacramento Republic4

San Jose Earthquakes3

Seattle Sounders2

Phoenix Rising1

Los Angeles FC3

Loudoun United0

New York City II0

New Mexico3

Quarter-finals

Sporting Kansas City2

FC Dallas1

Atlanta United1

Indy Eleven2

Sacramento Republic1

Seattle Sounders2

Los Angeles FC3

New Mexico1

Semi-finals

Sporting Kansas City2

Indy Eleven0

Seattle Sounders0

Los Angeles FC1

Final

Sporting Kansas City1

Los Angeles FC3