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Portmany vs Santanyi Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Souza Vieira M.
90' Event
Esteve M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Portmany
35%
Draws
35%
Santanyi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Portmany haven't matched Santanyi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santanyi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Portmany Clean Sheet 18%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmany Santanyi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.77 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Santanyi
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Portmany
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Santanyi
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Portmany
1:3
Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Portmany
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmany Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza Vieira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Esteve M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmany 28 / 100
Santanyi 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmany Santanyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santanyi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santanyi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Portmany stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Portmany found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Portmany VS Santanyi
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.83 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmany

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

Santanyi

(Away)
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)