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Porto Velho U20 vs Itapuense U20

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Porto Velho U20 play Itapuense U20 in the Rondoniense U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, Porto Velho U20 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Itapuense U20 averaged 1.67 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Porto Velho U20 won 0, Itapuense U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Porto Velho U20 and 1.46 for Itapuense U20. This points to a Porto Velho U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Porto Velho U20
35%
Draws
20%
Itapuense U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Porto Velho U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Porto Velho U20 picked up more points recently compared to Itapuense U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.46 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Porto Velho U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Itapuense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Velho U20 Itapuense U20
Matches Played 22 3
Wins 8 0
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.5 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.41 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Rondoniense U20
Porto Velho U20 vs Itapuense U20
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Velho U20 44 / 100
Itapuense U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Velho U20 Itapuense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Porto Velho U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Porto Velho U20 attacking → ← attacking Itapuense U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Velho U20 scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

Itapuense U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Porto Velho U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Itapuense U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 2
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Genus U20330010:19
2Porto Velho U2031118:44
3Itapuense U2030215:92
4Brazuca U2030125:141
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uniao Cacoalense U20330014:29
2Rolim de Moura U2031113:74
3Ji-Parana U2021014:53
4Espigao U2020113:61
5Pimentense U2020022:60