Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Porto Vitoria vs Audax Sao Mateus

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo Estadio Kleber Andrade, Cariacica
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Matheus Guedes
59' Event
Thallyson
(Penalty)
88' Event
Luiz Henrique

AI Match Summary

Porto Vitoria in this Copa Espirito Santo tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Porto Vitoria
6%
Draws
4%
Audax Sao Mateus
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Porto Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Porto Vitoria have won more games recently than Audax Sao Mateus.
  • Win probability leans Porto Vitoria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Porto Vitoria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Porto Vitoria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Audax Sao Mateus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto Vitoria Audax Sao Mateus
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 12 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.75 0.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Porto Vitoria vs Audax Sao Mateus
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porto Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Guedes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luiz Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Audax Sao Mateus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto Vitoria 95 / 100
Audax Sao Mateus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto Vitoria Audax Sao Mateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Vitoria found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Audax Sao Mateus conceded in 70% of 10 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Porto Vitoria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Porto Vitoria VS Audax Sao Mateus
1.75 Goals Scored 0.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto Vitoria

(Home)
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3
Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
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Audax Sao Mateus

(Away)
26 Jul
Doze Futebol Clube
3 : 2
Audax Sao Mateus
22 Jul
Audax Sao Mateus
2 : 0
CTE Colatina
12 Jul
Linhares Futebol Clube
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
06 Jun
Vilavelhense
2 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
03 Jun
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 4
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Porto Vitoria751114:516
2Vitoria ES741216:813
3Vilavelhense741210:813
4Rio Branco-VN74126:413
5Rio Branco ES732211:711
6Sport-ES72053:136
7Serra71156:104
8Audax Sao Mateus71152:134
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)