Sport Picks
Porto Vitoria vs Tocantinopolis
Brazil
Copa Centro-Oeste Estadio Kleber Andrade, Cariacica 
Match Events
39'
39'
Natan Bahia
76'
76'
Eduardo L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tocantinopolis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Porto Vitoria have won more games recently than Tocantinopolis.
- Model gives Porto Vitoria a 38% chance of winning this.
- Porto Vitoria have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Porto Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Porto Vitoria | Tocantinopolis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 Copa Centro-Oeste
Porto Vitoria vs Tocantinopolis
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Porto Vitoria Compare
Top Goalscorer Natan Bahia
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Tocantinopolis Compare
Top Goalscorer Eduardo L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Porto Vitoria 50 / 100
Tocantinopolis 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Porto Vitoria Tocantinopolis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porto Vitoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Porto Vitoria scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Tocantinopolis conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Porto Vitoria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Porto Vitoria VS Tocantinopolis
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Porto Vitoria
(Home) 20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3 Rio Branco-VN
14 Jun
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0 Porto Vitoria
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0 Sport-ES
30 May
Serra
1 : 1 Porto Vitoria
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0 Audax Sao Mateus
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 3 Rio Branco-VN
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0 Sport-ES
22 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0 Audax Sao Mateus
06 May
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0 Rio Branco ES
29 Apr
Porto Vitoria
1 : 1 Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 3
Tocantinopolis
(Away) 06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1 Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1 Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1 Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0 Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3 Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1 Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1 Tocantinopolis
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3 Tocantinopolis
29 Apr
Porto Vitoria
1 : 1 Tocantinopolis
25 Apr
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Rio Branco ES | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Operario MS | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 4 | Araguaina | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 5 | Capital | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Primavera AC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gama | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Anapolis | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Atletico GO | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Porto Vitoria | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 5 | Tocantinopolis | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 6 | Cuiaba | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Centro-Oeste (Play Offs)
