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Portugal U16 W vs Austria U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portugal U16 W play Austria U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portugal U16 W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Austria U16 W averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal U16 W won 0, Austria U16 W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 21, 2024 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.08 for Portugal U16 W and 1.29 for Austria U16 W. This points to a Austria U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Portugal U16 W
15%
Draws
46%
Austria U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Austria U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Portugal U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Austria U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.08 vs 1.29 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Portugal U16 W Clean Sheet 19%
Austria U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U16 W Austria U16 W
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 14 4
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.4 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2024 Friendly International Women
Portugal U16 W vs Austria U16 W
0:4
May 16, 2023 Friendly International Women
Portugal U16 W vs Austria U16 W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U16 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Austria U16 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerschbaumer A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tuppinger D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U16 W 39 / 100
Austria U16 W 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U16 W Austria U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Austria U16 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugal U16 W attacking → ← attacking Austria U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U16 W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Austria U16 W let in goals in 50% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Portugal U16 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Austria U16 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 12
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.33
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.17