Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portugal U17 W vs Wales U17 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Estádio Municipal Fernando Cabrita, Lagos
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Castro F.
14' Event
Matos M.
28' Event
Loucao M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Portugal U17 W and Wales U17 W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugal U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Portugal U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
Wales U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portugal U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portugal U17 W come out ahead of Wales U17 W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Portugal U17 W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Portugal U17 W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Portugal U17 W Clean Sheet 19%
Wales U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U17 W Wales U17 W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Friendly International Women
Portugal U17 W vs Wales U17 W
3:1
Oct 26, 2024 Euro U17 Women
Portugal U17 W vs Wales U17 W
5:2
Sep 20, 2023 Friendly International Women
Portugal U17 W vs Wales U17 W
2:0
Feb 19, 2023 Friendly International Women
Portugal U17 W vs Wales U17 W
3:0
Feb 18, 2021 Euro U17 Women
Wales U17 W vs Portugal U17 W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matos M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Wales U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U17 W 85 / 100
Wales U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U17 W Wales U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U17 W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Wales U17 W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Wales U17 W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U17 W VS Wales U17 W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U17 W

(Home)
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
04 Mar
Portugal U17 W
3 : 0
Kosovo U17 W
01 Mar
Hungary U17 W
0 : 1
Portugal U17 W
27 Jan
Portugal U17 W
1 : 0
Japan U17 W
24 Jan
Portugal U17 W
1 : 2
Czech Republic U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Wales U17 W

(Away)
17 Mar
Wales U17 W
1 : 2
Slovakia U17 W
14 Mar
Poland U17 W
4 : 1
Wales U17 W
11 Mar
Netherlands U17 W
5 : 0
Wales U17 W
12 Feb
Wales U17 W
0 : 2
Scotland U17 W
09 Feb
Wales U17 W
0 : 5
USA U17 W
Page 1 of 6