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Portugal U18 vs Romania U18

World World

Friendly International 2024 Municipal de Amarante
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portugal U18 play Romania U18 in the Friendly International 2024. Portugal U18 are favorites here. Recently, Portugal U18 averaged 2.26 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Romania U18 averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal U18 won 4, Romania U18 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 11, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Portugal U18 and 1.00 for Romania U18. This points to a Portugal U18 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Portugal U18
21%
Draws
22%
Romania U18
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Portugal U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Portugal U18 picked up more points recently compared to Romania U18.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Portugal U18 Clean Sheet 23%
Romania U18 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U18 Romania U18
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2.26 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs Romania U18
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs Romania U18
3:1
Oct 12, 2023 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs Romania U18
5:0
Sep 24, 2022 Friendly International
Romania U18 vs Portugal U18
0:1
Oct 8, 2021 Friendly International
Romania U18 vs Portugal U18
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrao A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Romania U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Necsulescu R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U18 56 / 100
Romania U18 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U18 Romania U18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Portugal U18 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugal U18 attacking → ← attacking Romania U18

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal U18 scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Romania U18 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Portugal U18 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Romania U18 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 30
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38