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Portugal U21 vs Romania U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Grameni C.
30'
Cirjan C.
46'
Sub
Munteanu L. In: Musi A.
Out: Munteanu L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Portugal U21 and Romania U21 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Romania U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Portugal U21
6%
Draws
4%
Romania U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Romania U21 haven't matched Portugal U21's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Portugal U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Romania U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portugal U21 Romania U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 3.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Romania U21
0:1
Mar 24, 2023 Friendly International
Romania U21 vs Portugal U21
0:2
Sep 7, 2018 Euro U21
Portugal U21 vs Romania U21
1:2
Nov 10, 2017 Euro U21
Romania U21 vs Portugal U21
1:1
Mar 25, 2011 Friendly International
Portugal U21 vs Romania U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portugal U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Romania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mihai C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal U21 85 / 100
Romania U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portugal U21 Romania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portugal U21 scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Portugal U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Romania U21 conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Portugal U21 VS Romania U21
3.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portugal U21

(Home)
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
14 Oct
Gibraltar U21
0 : 11
Portugal U21
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Romania U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Romania U21
3 : 0
San Marino U21
27 Mar
Kosovo U21
0 : 1
Romania U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Finland U21
2 : 0
Romania U21
14 Oct
Romania U21
2 : 0
Cyprus U21
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