Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 AT&T Stadium

Spain

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portugal play Spain in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portugal averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Spain averaged 2.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Portugal won 1, Spain won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 8, 2025 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Portugal and 1.06 for Spain. This points to a Spain double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Portugal

33%

Draws

35%

Spain

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Portugal picked up more points recently compared to Spain.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Portugal Clean Sheet 22%

Spain Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portugal	Spain
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	19	21
Draws	6	6
Losses	4	1
Goals Scored	2.17	2.57
Goals Conceded	0.9	0.86
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League

Portugal vs Spain

Possession: 57% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

3:2

Sep 27, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Portugal vs Spain

Possession: 41% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Jun 2, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Spain vs Portugal

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Jun 4, 2021 Friendly International

Spain vs Portugal

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Oct 7, 2020 Friendly International

Portugal vs Spain

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portugal 33 / 100

Spain 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portugal Spain

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spain or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portugal attacking → ← attacking Spain

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portugal scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Spain let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Portugal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Spain lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 69

2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50